Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Seattle on August 27 centers on overnight lows of 57–58°F under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds, producing the tight market split between the 58–59°F (49.5%) and 56–57°F (48.5%) bins. Marine air moderation and modest radiative cooling under broken cloud cover limit further drops, while historical August climatology (average low near 56°F) and current model consensus keep colder outcomes below 30% implied probability. Minor forecast revisions overnight or localized urban heat effects remain the main variables that could shift resolution between these adjacent ranges before the daily minimum is recorded.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seattle on August 27?
58-59°F 50%
56-57°F 47%
52-53°F 43%
60-61°F 31%
51°F or below
22%
52-53°F
43%
54-55°F
10%
56-57°F
47%
58-59°F
50%
60-61°F
31%
62-63°F
28%
64-65°F
15%
66-67°F
12%
68-69°F
7%
70°F or higher
6%
58-59°F 50%
56-57°F 47%
52-53°F 43%
60-61°F 31%
51°F or below
22%
52-53°F
43%
54-55°F
10%
56-57°F
47%
58-59°F
50%
60-61°F
31%
62-63°F
28%
64-65°F
15%
66-67°F
12%
68-69°F
7%
70°F or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Seattle on August 27 centers on overnight lows of 57–58°F under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds, producing the tight market split between the 58–59°F (49.5%) and 56–57°F (48.5%) bins. Marine air moderation and modest radiative cooling under broken cloud cover limit further drops, while historical August climatology (average low near 56°F) and current model consensus keep colder outcomes below 30% implied probability. Minor forecast revisions overnight or localized urban heat effects remain the main variables that could shift resolution between these adjacent ranges before the daily minimum is recorded.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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