Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a high near 73°F in Seattle on August 27, with morning marine-layer clouds giving way to partial afternoon sunshine under southwesterly flow. This follows several days of upper-level ridging that delivered mid-80s readings earlier in the week before an onshore shift introduced cooler, moister air. Market-implied probabilities cluster on 72–75°F because small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and the strength of the marine push can easily move the daily maximum by a degree or two around the climatological normal of 75°F. Stronger or earlier onshore advection would favor the lower 70s, while more sun and weaker marine influence support the mid-70s.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seattle on August 27?
74-75°F 35%
72-73°F 28%
76-77°F 16%
70-71°F 15%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
15%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
35%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84°F or higher
3%
74-75°F 35%
72-73°F 28%
76-77°F 16%
70-71°F 15%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
15%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
35%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a high near 73°F in Seattle on August 27, with morning marine-layer clouds giving way to partial afternoon sunshine under southwesterly flow. This follows several days of upper-level ridging that delivered mid-80s readings earlier in the week before an onshore shift introduced cooler, moister air. Market-implied probabilities cluster on 72–75°F because small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and the strength of the marine push can easily move the daily maximum by a degree or two around the climatological normal of 75°F. Stronger or earlier onshore advection would favor the lower 70s, while more sun and weaker marine influence support the mid-70s.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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