Official National Weather Service forecasts project a San Francisco high of 68–71°F for August 25 under persistent marine-layer influence and moderate onshore westerly flow, keeping coastal temperatures near or slightly below the 69.6°F climatological average. Trader concentration in the 70–73°F bins reflects expectations of modest afternoon clearing or slightly weaker marine-layer depth that could allow brief warming, while lower bins capture risks of stronger onshore winds or thicker stratus suppressing the peak. Model consensus remains tight given stable synoptic patterns, with resolution hinging on precise inversion height and wind speeds measured at SFO.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 25?
72-73°F 29%
70-71°F 26%
74-75°F 22%
68-69°F 14%
63°F or below
2%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
3%
82°F or higher
9%
72-73°F 29%
70-71°F 26%
74-75°F 22%
68-69°F 14%
63°F or below
2%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
3%
82°F or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts project a San Francisco high of 68–71°F for August 25 under persistent marine-layer influence and moderate onshore westerly flow, keeping coastal temperatures near or slightly below the 69.6°F climatological average. Trader concentration in the 70–73°F bins reflects expectations of modest afternoon clearing or slightly weaker marine-layer depth that could allow brief warming, while lower bins capture risks of stronger onshore winds or thicker stratus suppressing the peak. Model consensus remains tight given stable synoptic patterns, with resolution hinging on precise inversion height and wind speeds measured at SFO.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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