Current forecast consensus from Environment Canada and major numerical weather prediction models points to a daytime high of 21–22°C in Toronto on August 23, supported by expected cloud cover, possible showers, and a moderating air mass after recent warmth. Trader-implied probabilities align closely with these outputs, assigning the strongest odds to the 21°C bin at 40.5% and 22°C at 28.0%, while lower probabilities for 23°C or above reflect limited confidence in significant warming. Late-August climatology favors highs near 24–25°C, yet recent model runs show cooler steering patterns and higher humidity suppressing peak temperatures. Updated guidance from official agencies ahead of the 23rd will refine resolution criteria tied to Environment Canada observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Toronto on August 23?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 23?
21°C 41%
22°C 28%
20°C 16%
23°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
16%
21°C
41%
22°C
28%
23°C
9%
24°C
3%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 41%
22°C 28%
20°C 16%
23°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
15°C or below
$80 KL.
<1%
16°C
$80 KL.
1%
17°C
$0 KL.
1%
18°C
$50 KL.
2%
19°C
$28 KL.
5%
20°C
$167 KL.
16%
21°C
$28 KL.
41%
22°C
$677 KL.
28%
23°C
$285 KL.
9%
24°C
$10 KL.
3%
25°C or higher
$0 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from Environment Canada and major numerical weather prediction models points to a daytime high of 21–22°C in Toronto on August 23, supported by expected cloud cover, possible showers, and a moderating air mass after recent warmth. Trader-implied probabilities align closely with these outputs, assigning the strongest odds to the 21°C bin at 40.5% and 22°C at 28.0%, while lower probabilities for 23°C or above reflect limited confidence in significant warming. Late-August climatology favors highs near 24–25°C, yet recent model runs show cooler steering patterns and higher humidity suppressing peak temperatures. Updated guidance from official agencies ahead of the 23rd will refine resolution criteria tied to Environment Canada observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,379Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from Environment Canada and major numerical weather prediction models points to a daytime high of 21–22°C in Toronto on August 23, supported by expected cloud cover, possible showers, and a moderating air mass after recent warmth. Trader-implied probabilities align closely with these outputs, assigning the strongest odds to the 21°C bin at 40.5% and 22°C at 28.0%, while lower probabilities for 23°C or above reflect limited confidence in significant warming. Late-August climatology favors highs near 24–25°C, yet recent model runs show cooler steering patterns and higher humidity suppressing peak temperatures. Updated guidance from official agencies ahead of the 23rd will refine resolution criteria tied to Environment Canada observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,379Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from Environment Canada and major numerical weather prediction models points to a daytime high of 21–22°C in Toronto on August 23, supported by expected cloud cover, possible showers, and a moderating air mass after recent warmth. Trader-implied probabilities align closely with these outputs, assigning the strongest odds to the 21°C bin at 40.5% and 22°C at 28.0%, while lower probabilities for 23°C or above reflect limited confidence in significant warming. Late-August climatology favors highs near 24–25°C, yet recent model runs show cooler steering patterns and higher humidity suppressing peak temperatures. Updated guidance from official agencies ahead of the 23rd will refine resolution criteria tied to Environment Canada observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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