Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF guidance as of August 22, indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam on August 24 around 11–14°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with light easterly winds and building high pressure favoring radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the long-term August climatological average low near 13°C at Schiphol, though ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to minor cloud cover increases or wind shifts that could raise minima by 1–2°C. The near-even market pricing on both cold (6°C or below) and warm (16°C or higher) extremes reflects this narrow range of plausible outcomes, with traders weighing subtle model differences in boundary layer mixing and dew point depression ahead of final NHC-equivalent updates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 24?
16°C or higher 93%
6°C or below 89%
14°C 36%
15°C 36%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 24, 2026
6°C or below
89%
7°C
20%
8°C
23%
9°C
19%
10°C
20%
11°C
21%
12°C
18%
13°C
18%
14°C
36%
15°C
36%
16°C or higher
93%
16°C or higher 93%
6°C or below 89%
14°C 36%
15°C 36%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 24, 2026
6°C or below
$5 KL.
89%
7°C
$5 KL.
20%
8°C
$5 KL.
23%
9°C
$0 KL.
19%
10°C
$0 KL.
20%
11°C
$0 KL.
21%
12°C
$0 KL.
18%
13°C
$0 KL.
18%
14°C
$25 KL.
36%
15°C
$5 KL.
36%
16°C or higher
$5 KL.
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF guidance as of August 22, indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam on August 24 around 11–14°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with light easterly winds and building high pressure favoring radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the long-term August climatological average low near 13°C at Schiphol, though ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to minor cloud cover increases or wind shifts that could raise minima by 1–2°C. The near-even market pricing on both cold (6°C or below) and warm (16°C or higher) extremes reflects this narrow range of plausible outcomes, with traders weighing subtle model differences in boundary layer mixing and dew point depression ahead of final NHC-equivalent updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$50Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF guidance as of August 22, indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam on August 24 around 11–14°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with light easterly winds and building high pressure favoring radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the long-term August climatological average low near 13°C at Schiphol, though ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to minor cloud cover increases or wind shifts that could raise minima by 1–2°C. The near-even market pricing on both cold (6°C or below) and warm (16°C or higher) extremes reflects this narrow range of plausible outcomes, with traders weighing subtle model differences in boundary layer mixing and dew point depression ahead of final NHC-equivalent updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$50Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF guidance as of August 22, indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam on August 24 around 11–14°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with light easterly winds and building high pressure favoring radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the long-term August climatological average low near 13°C at Schiphol, though ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to minor cloud cover increases or wind shifts that could raise minima by 1–2°C. The near-even market pricing on both cold (6°C or below) and warm (16°C or higher) extremes reflects this narrow range of plausible outcomes, with traders weighing subtle model differences in boundary layer mixing and dew point depression ahead of final NHC-equivalent updates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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