Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 32°C on August 22 under east to southeast winds, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that suppress insolation and cap daytime heating. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 31–32°C outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 65%, as persistent monsoon moisture and high relative humidity moderate peak temperatures below seasonal averages near 31–32°C. Recent model guidance shows consistent cloud cover through the period, with limited clear-sky windows reducing the likelihood of 33°C or higher readings. Upcoming forecast updates over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 22?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 22?
31°C 39%
32°C 31%
30°C 19%
29°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 22, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
8%
30°C
19%
31°C
39%
32°C
31%
33°C
7%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
4%
31°C 39%
32°C 31%
30°C 19%
29°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 22, 2026
25°C or below
$202 KL.
<1%
26°C
$140 KL.
<1%
27°C
$5 KL.
2%
28°C
$25 KL.
1%
29°C
$145 KL.
8%
30°C
$146 KL.
19%
31°C
$429 KL.
39%
32°C
$204 KL.
31%
33°C
$25 KL.
7%
34°C
$20 KL.
3%
35°C or higher
$5 KL.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 32°C on August 22 under east to southeast winds, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that suppress insolation and cap daytime heating. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 31–32°C outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 65%, as persistent monsoon moisture and high relative humidity moderate peak temperatures below seasonal averages near 31–32°C. Recent model guidance shows consistent cloud cover through the period, with limited clear-sky windows reducing the likelihood of 33°C or higher readings. Upcoming forecast updates over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,347Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 32°C on August 22 under east to southeast winds, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that suppress insolation and cap daytime heating. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 31–32°C outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 65%, as persistent monsoon moisture and high relative humidity moderate peak temperatures below seasonal averages near 31–32°C. Recent model guidance shows consistent cloud cover through the period, with limited clear-sky windows reducing the likelihood of 33°C or higher readings. Upcoming forecast updates over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$1,347Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 32°C on August 22 under east to southeast winds, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that suppress insolation and cap daytime heating. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 31–32°C outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 65%, as persistent monsoon moisture and high relative humidity moderate peak temperatures below seasonal averages near 31–32°C. Recent model guidance shows consistent cloud cover through the period, with limited clear-sky windows reducing the likelihood of 33°C or higher readings. Upcoming forecast updates over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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