Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a minimum air temperature of 26°C on August 20, 2026, consistent with regional observations of 26–30°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and typical August humidity near 80–90%. This outcome aligns with climatological baselines around 26–27°C for the date and reflects limited overnight cooling due to high moisture and weak synoptic winds. Market-implied odds near 100% for 26°C indicate strong trader confidence in verified station data over model forecasts. A realistic challenge would require revised official readings from primary sites or unresolved discrepancies between urban and airport stations, though such revisions are rare after initial reporting.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 20?
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$49,224 KL.
$49,224 KL.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$49,224 KL.
$49,224 KL.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a minimum air temperature of 26°C on August 20, 2026, consistent with regional observations of 26–30°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and typical August humidity near 80–90%. This outcome aligns with climatological baselines around 26–27°C for the date and reflects limited overnight cooling due to high moisture and weak synoptic winds. Market-implied odds near 100% for 26°C indicate strong trader confidence in verified station data over model forecasts. A realistic challenge would require revised official readings from primary sites or unresolved discrepancies between urban and airport stations, though such revisions are rare after initial reporting.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp