Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate a high around 32–35°C on August 29, with the market split tightly between 32°C and 33°C reflecting model divergence on rain timing. Persistent post-Sanfu heat through August 28 gives way to increasing cloud cover, northeasterly winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms on the 29th as outer bands from a distant typhoon interact with the region. These factors limit daytime solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, with official guidance showing highs of 32–34°C depending on precipitation onset. Ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty in exact rainfall amounts and wind strength, which traders weigh against historical late-August variability in the Yangtze basin. Updated model runs and China Meteorological Administration briefings on the 28th will likely refine resolution probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 29?
33°C 27%
32°C 26%
34°C 17%
31°C 14%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
14%
32°C
26%
33°C
27%
34°C
17%
35°C
8%
36°C
6%
37°C or higher
3%
33°C 27%
32°C 26%
34°C 17%
31°C 14%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
14%
32°C
26%
33°C
27%
34°C
17%
35°C
8%
36°C
6%
37°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate a high around 32–35°C on August 29, with the market split tightly between 32°C and 33°C reflecting model divergence on rain timing. Persistent post-Sanfu heat through August 28 gives way to increasing cloud cover, northeasterly winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms on the 29th as outer bands from a distant typhoon interact with the region. These factors limit daytime solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, with official guidance showing highs of 32–34°C depending on precipitation onset. Ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty in exact rainfall amounts and wind strength, which traders weigh against historical late-August variability in the Yangtze basin. Updated model runs and China Meteorological Administration briefings on the 28th will likely refine resolution probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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