Recent forecasts from the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia and numerical models including GFS indicate Moscow's August 29 daytime high will likely reach 19–21°C under variable cloudiness, light southeasterly winds, and minimal precipitation. This range drives the closely matched market-implied odds, with 20°C edging ahead due to ensemble consensus around typical late-summer conditions near the long-term average. Subtle differences among model runs stem from uncertainties in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift maximum temperatures by 1–2°C. Official updates and fresh model cycles over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on August 29?
20°C 42%
19°C 22%
21°C 19%
18°C 8%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
8%
19°C
22%
20°C
42%
21°C
19%
22°C
4%
23°C
3%
24°C or higher
3%
20°C 42%
19°C 22%
21°C 19%
18°C 8%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
8%
19°C
22%
20°C
42%
21°C
19%
22°C
4%
23°C
3%
24°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia and numerical models including GFS indicate Moscow's August 29 daytime high will likely reach 19–21°C under variable cloudiness, light southeasterly winds, and minimal precipitation. This range drives the closely matched market-implied odds, with 20°C edging ahead due to ensemble consensus around typical late-summer conditions near the long-term average. Subtle differences among model runs stem from uncertainties in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift maximum temperatures by 1–2°C. Official updates and fresh model cycles over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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