Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 27–31°C on August 27 amid mainly cloudy skies, occasional showers, and squally thunderstorms that are heavy at times early in the day. Persistent cloud cover and high relative humidity (75–95%) limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling, keeping peak temperatures near the lower-to-middle end of the historical late-August range. Southwesterly winds of force 4–5 may enhance mixing and slightly moderate afternoon highs. Market-implied odds cluster around 29–31°C because model runs show modest variability in rainfall timing and intensity, with any break in cloud allowing brief warming toward 31°C while sustained convection favors 29–30°C. Updated HKO guidance and regional model consensus later today represent the next key inputs for traders.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 27?
30°C 35%
31°C 31%
29°C 24%
32°C 10%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
24%
30°C
35%
31°C
31%
32°C
10%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 35%
31°C 31%
29°C 24%
32°C 10%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
24%
30°C
35%
31°C
31%
32°C
10%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 27–31°C on August 27 amid mainly cloudy skies, occasional showers, and squally thunderstorms that are heavy at times early in the day. Persistent cloud cover and high relative humidity (75–95%) limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling, keeping peak temperatures near the lower-to-middle end of the historical late-August range. Southwesterly winds of force 4–5 may enhance mixing and slightly moderate afternoon highs. Market-implied odds cluster around 29–31°C because model runs show modest variability in rainfall timing and intensity, with any break in cloud allowing brief warming toward 31°C while sustained convection favors 29–30°C. Updated HKO guidance and regional model consensus later today represent the next key inputs for traders.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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