Singapore's equatorial climate typically produces daily maximum temperatures near the August average of 32°C, with the market-implied 51% probability on that exact outcome reflecting recent Meteorological Service Singapore guidance for the second half of the month. Official outlooks indicate highs most often between 33–34°C but frequently moderated by afternoon thundery showers, high humidity above 75%, and variable cloud cover that limits peak heating. Short-range model consensus and station observations from the prior week show consistent readings in the low-to-mid 30s, with only isolated days approaching 35°C. Traders appear to weigh these climatological controls and shower timing against the slim odds of stronger insolation or clearer skies pushing the daily high higher on August 26.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Singapore on August 26?
32°C 52%
33°C 30%
31°C 23%
30°C 10%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
7%
30°C
10%
31°C
23%
32°C
52%
33°C
23%
34°C
5%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 52%
33°C 30%
31°C 23%
30°C 10%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
7%
30°C
10%
31°C
23%
32°C
52%
33°C
23%
34°C
5%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Singapore's equatorial climate typically produces daily maximum temperatures near the August average of 32°C, with the market-implied 51% probability on that exact outcome reflecting recent Meteorological Service Singapore guidance for the second half of the month. Official outlooks indicate highs most often between 33–34°C but frequently moderated by afternoon thundery showers, high humidity above 75%, and variable cloud cover that limits peak heating. Short-range model consensus and station observations from the prior week show consistent readings in the low-to-mid 30s, with only isolated days approaching 35°C. Traders appear to weigh these climatological controls and shower timing against the slim odds of stronger insolation or clearer skies pushing the daily high higher on August 26.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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