Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's daily maximum on August 26 will likely reach 29–30°C under persistent high pressure and sunny conditions with light northeasterly flow, though slight variations in timing of any sea breeze or cloud cover create uncertainty between 27°C and 28°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these outcomes because late-August climatology shows gradual cooling from mid-month peaks near 32°C, while ensemble guidance highlights modest day-to-day variability in boundary-layer temperatures. Key differentiating factors include precise wind direction affecting Bosphorus advection and urban heat-island amplification, with new model runs or observational updates from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service likely to resolve the narrow spread before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 26?
29°C 48%
27°C 46%
28°C 37%
26°C 8%
23°C or below
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
4%
26°C
8%
27°C
46%
28°C
37%
29°C
48%
30°C
6%
31°C
6%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
4%
29°C 48%
27°C 46%
28°C 37%
26°C 8%
23°C or below
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
4%
26°C
8%
27°C
46%
28°C
37%
29°C
48%
30°C
6%
31°C
6%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's daily maximum on August 26 will likely reach 29–30°C under persistent high pressure and sunny conditions with light northeasterly flow, though slight variations in timing of any sea breeze or cloud cover create uncertainty between 27°C and 28°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these outcomes because late-August climatology shows gradual cooling from mid-month peaks near 32°C, while ensemble guidance highlights modest day-to-day variability in boundary-layer temperatures. Key differentiating factors include precise wind direction affecting Bosphorus advection and urban heat-island amplification, with new model runs or observational updates from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service likely to resolve the narrow spread before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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