Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private outlets converge on a Dallas high near 105–108°F for August 23, 2026, driven by a strong ridge of high pressure, southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover sustaining the ongoing heat wave. This positions 106–107°F as the market favorite at 46.5% implied probability, with adjacent bins capturing typical model spread and measurement uncertainty at official stations. Recent days of 103–107°F readings have reinforced trader confidence in the upper end of climatological norms for late August, while limited thunderstorm chances offer only marginal cooling potential before peak heating.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Dallas on August 23?
106-107°F 47%
108-109°F 25%
104-105°F 21%
110-111°F 5%
101°F or below
2%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
21%
106-107°F
47%
108-109°F
25%
110-111°F
5%
112-113°F
2%
114-115°F
1%
116-117°F
1%
118-119°F
<1%
120°F or higher
<1%
106-107°F 47%
108-109°F 25%
104-105°F 21%
110-111°F 5%
101°F or below
2%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
21%
106-107°F
47%
108-109°F
25%
110-111°F
5%
112-113°F
2%
114-115°F
1%
116-117°F
1%
118-119°F
<1%
120°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private outlets converge on a Dallas high near 105–108°F for August 23, 2026, driven by a strong ridge of high pressure, southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover sustaining the ongoing heat wave. This positions 106–107°F as the market favorite at 46.5% implied probability, with adjacent bins capturing typical model spread and measurement uncertainty at official stations. Recent days of 103–107°F readings have reinforced trader confidence in the upper end of climatological norms for late August, while limited thunderstorm chances offer only marginal cooling potential before peak heating.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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