Persistent upper-level ridging and a heat dome over the southern Plains are sustaining extreme heat across North Texas, with forecast models from the National Weather Service consensus showing mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and minimal overnight radiational cooling for August 23. This setup favors daily minimum temperatures in the lower-to-mid 80s°F, consistent with recent observations where lows have held in the 80–85°F range amid dry soils and subsidence warming. Differentiation between sub-80°F outcomes and 98°F+ extremes hinges on variables like unexpected cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture increases that could enhance cooling versus continued clear, calm conditions trapping heat; historical August minima average near 76°F but have trended higher under similar ridging. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Dallas on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Dallas on August 23?
98°F or higher 78%
79°F or below 42%
86-87°F 30%
84-85°F 30%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
79°F or below
42%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
30%
86-87°F
30%
88-89°F
21%
90-91°F
10%
92-93°F
18%
94-95°F
13%
96-97°F
3%
98°F or higher
78%
98°F or higher 78%
79°F or below 42%
86-87°F 30%
84-85°F 30%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
79°F or below
$0 KL.
42%
80-81°F
$0 KL.
12%
82-83°F
$0 KL.
14%
84-85°F
$0 KL.
30%
86-87°F
$0 KL.
30%
88-89°F
$0 KL.
21%
90-91°F
$0 KL.
10%
92-93°F
$15 KL.
18%
94-95°F
$5 KL.
13%
96-97°F
$5 KL.
3%
98°F or higher
$10 KL.
78%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent upper-level ridging and a heat dome over the southern Plains are sustaining extreme heat across North Texas, with forecast models from the National Weather Service consensus showing mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and minimal overnight radiational cooling for August 23. This setup favors daily minimum temperatures in the lower-to-mid 80s°F, consistent with recent observations where lows have held in the 80–85°F range amid dry soils and subsidence warming. Differentiation between sub-80°F outcomes and 98°F+ extremes hinges on variables like unexpected cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture increases that could enhance cooling versus continued clear, calm conditions trapping heat; historical August minima average near 76°F but have trended higher under similar ridging. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$35Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent upper-level ridging and a heat dome over the southern Plains are sustaining extreme heat across North Texas, with forecast models from the National Weather Service consensus showing mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and minimal overnight radiational cooling for August 23. This setup favors daily minimum temperatures in the lower-to-mid 80s°F, consistent with recent observations where lows have held in the 80–85°F range amid dry soils and subsidence warming. Differentiation between sub-80°F outcomes and 98°F+ extremes hinges on variables like unexpected cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture increases that could enhance cooling versus continued clear, calm conditions trapping heat; historical August minima average near 76°F but have trended higher under similar ridging. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$35Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent upper-level ridging and a heat dome over the southern Plains are sustaining extreme heat across North Texas, with forecast models from the National Weather Service consensus showing mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and minimal overnight radiational cooling for August 23. This setup favors daily minimum temperatures in the lower-to-mid 80s°F, consistent with recent observations where lows have held in the 80–85°F range amid dry soils and subsidence warming. Differentiation between sub-80°F outcomes and 98°F+ extremes hinges on variables like unexpected cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture increases that could enhance cooling versus continued clear, calm conditions trapping heat; historical August minima average near 76°F but have trended higher under similar ridging. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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