Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate moderating conditions for Madrid on August 24, with a southwest flow and increased cloud cover expected to limit radiative cooling overnight. This follows several days of highs near 33°C and supports minimum temperatures clustered around 18–20°C, near the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 18.7°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread but highlights sensitivity to exact wind speeds and cloud timing, which can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. The closely matched market probabilities around the 18°C threshold reflect this narrow uncertainty range and typical late-summer variability in the Madrid basin. Updated runs from national meteorological agencies over the next 24–48 hours will provide the key data points for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Madrid on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 24?
28°C or higher 94%
18°C or below 49%
19°C 18%
24°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
49%
19°C
18%
20°C
12%
21°C
10%
22°C
11%
23°C
8%
24°C
14%
25°C
7%
26°C
14%
27°C
14%
28°C or higher
94%
28°C or higher 94%
18°C or below 49%
19°C 18%
24°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
$0 KL.
49%
19°C
$0 KL.
18%
20°C
$0 KL.
12%
21°C
$0 KL.
10%
22°C
$0 KL.
11%
23°C
$4 KL.
8%
24°C
$5 KL.
14%
25°C
$5 KL.
7%
26°C
$5 KL.
14%
27°C
$5 KL.
14%
28°C or higher
$5 KL.
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate moderating conditions for Madrid on August 24, with a southwest flow and increased cloud cover expected to limit radiative cooling overnight. This follows several days of highs near 33°C and supports minimum temperatures clustered around 18–20°C, near the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 18.7°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread but highlights sensitivity to exact wind speeds and cloud timing, which can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. The closely matched market probabilities around the 18°C threshold reflect this narrow uncertainty range and typical late-summer variability in the Madrid basin. Updated runs from national meteorological agencies over the next 24–48 hours will provide the key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$29Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate moderating conditions for Madrid on August 24, with a southwest flow and increased cloud cover expected to limit radiative cooling overnight. This follows several days of highs near 33°C and supports minimum temperatures clustered around 18–20°C, near the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 18.7°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread but highlights sensitivity to exact wind speeds and cloud timing, which can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. The closely matched market probabilities around the 18°C threshold reflect this narrow uncertainty range and typical late-summer variability in the Madrid basin. Updated runs from national meteorological agencies over the next 24–48 hours will provide the key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$29Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate moderating conditions for Madrid on August 24, with a southwest flow and increased cloud cover expected to limit radiative cooling overnight. This follows several days of highs near 33°C and supports minimum temperatures clustered around 18–20°C, near the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 18.7°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread but highlights sensitivity to exact wind speeds and cloud timing, which can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. The closely matched market probabilities around the 18°C threshold reflect this narrow uncertainty range and typical late-summer variability in the Madrid basin. Updated runs from national meteorological agencies over the next 24–48 hours will provide the key data points for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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