Recent short-range forecast model runs show Shanghai's August 22 maximum temperature hovering near the 30–31°C threshold amid persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity levels typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon conditions. Variable cloud cover and scattered thundershower timing create the key uncertainty, as reduced insolation or localized rainfall can suppress peak heating by 1–2°C while clear intervals allow stronger surface warming. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these outcomes because official Shanghai Meteorological Observatory updates and ensemble guidance have yet to converge on exact boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns. Historical August averages near 30–32°C provide context, but current late-month cooling trends and potential typhoon-related steering shifts keep lower probabilities for extremes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 22?
31°C 38%
30°C 36%
29°C 12%
32°C 11%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
12%
30°C
36%
31°C
38%
32°C
11%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 38%
30°C 36%
29°C 12%
32°C 11%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
12%
30°C
36%
31°C
38%
32°C
11%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast model runs show Shanghai's August 22 maximum temperature hovering near the 30–31°C threshold amid persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity levels typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon conditions. Variable cloud cover and scattered thundershower timing create the key uncertainty, as reduced insolation or localized rainfall can suppress peak heating by 1–2°C while clear intervals allow stronger surface warming. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these outcomes because official Shanghai Meteorological Observatory updates and ensemble guidance have yet to converge on exact boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns. Historical August averages near 30–32°C provide context, but current late-month cooling trends and potential typhoon-related steering shifts keep lower probabilities for extremes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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