Recent Met Office guidance for August 20 highlights a light-shower regime with a maximum near 23°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 22–23°C. Short-range ensemble models show modest spread due to variable cloud cover and shower timing, which can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C through reduced insolation while Atlantic airflow keeps values near seasonal norms. Recent cooling after mid-month warmth has narrowed upside risk above 24°C, though localized clear spells could still push readings to 24°C in central London. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in London on August 20?
23°C 31%
22°C 27%
24°C 21%
21°C 16%
19°C or below
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
16%
22°C
27%
23°C
31%
24°C
21%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 31%
22°C 27%
24°C 21%
21°C 16%
19°C or below
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
16%
22°C
27%
23°C
31%
24°C
21%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance for August 20 highlights a light-shower regime with a maximum near 23°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 22–23°C. Short-range ensemble models show modest spread due to variable cloud cover and shower timing, which can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C through reduced insolation while Atlantic airflow keeps values near seasonal norms. Recent cooling after mid-month warmth has narrowed upside risk above 24°C, though localized clear spells could still push readings to 24°C in central London. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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