Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by the Korea Meteorological Administration point to daytime highs in Busan around 29–31 °C on August 18, driven by warm, humid air advected along the western edge of the North Pacific High. Coastal sea breezes and variable cloud cover or scattered showers introduce the main uncertainty, potentially capping peaks near 30 °C or allowing brief clearing that supports 31–32 °C. These conditions align with climatological August averages of 29–30 °C and explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those thresholds, with traders weighing the latest model runs and any shifts in steering flow or moisture ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Busan on August 18?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 18?
31°C 34%
30°C 23%
29°C 17%
32°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 18, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
8%
29°C
17%
30°C
23%
31°C
34%
32°C
14%
33°C
7%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 34%
30°C 23%
29°C 17%
32°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 18, 2026
25°C or below
$131 KL.
<1%
26°C
$17 KL.
<1%
27°C
$13 KL.
1%
28°C
$43 KL.
8%
29°C
$58 KL.
17%
30°C
$67 KL.
23%
31°C
$13 KL.
34%
32°C
$62 KL.
14%
33°C
$35 KL.
7%
34°C
$38 KL.
4%
35°C or higher
$18 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by the Korea Meteorological Administration point to daytime highs in Busan around 29–31 °C on August 18, driven by warm, humid air advected along the western edge of the North Pacific High. Coastal sea breezes and variable cloud cover or scattered showers introduce the main uncertainty, potentially capping peaks near 30 °C or allowing brief clearing that supports 31–32 °C. These conditions align with climatological August averages of 29–30 °C and explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those thresholds, with traders weighing the latest model runs and any shifts in steering flow or moisture ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$495Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by the Korea Meteorological Administration point to daytime highs in Busan around 29–31 °C on August 18, driven by warm, humid air advected along the western edge of the North Pacific High. Coastal sea breezes and variable cloud cover or scattered showers introduce the main uncertainty, potentially capping peaks near 30 °C or allowing brief clearing that supports 31–32 °C. These conditions align with climatological August averages of 29–30 °C and explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those thresholds, with traders weighing the latest model runs and any shifts in steering flow or moisture ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$495Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by the Korea Meteorological Administration point to daytime highs in Busan around 29–31 °C on August 18, driven by warm, humid air advected along the western edge of the North Pacific High. Coastal sea breezes and variable cloud cover or scattered showers introduce the main uncertainty, potentially capping peaks near 30 °C or allowing brief clearing that supports 31–32 °C. These conditions align with climatological August averages of 29–30 °C and explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those thresholds, with traders weighing the latest model runs and any shifts in steering flow or moisture ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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