Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble models position August 18 highs in the Seoul-Incheon area near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with limited precipitation, following the early-month heatwave peak near 39°C. Trader consensus favoring 30°C (42%) over higher outcomes reflects model spread from variable cloud cover, potential steering flow shifts, and urban heat island moderation, while the tight clustering around 29–31°C captures typical forecast uncertainty ranges two days out. Historical August baselines near 30°C and ongoing humidity support this distribution, with upcoming KMA updates and observational data likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 18?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 18?
30°C 42%
31°C 24%
29°C 24%
32°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 18, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
24%
30°C
42%
31°C
24%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 42%
31°C 24%
29°C 24%
32°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 18, 2026
23°C or below
$501 KL.
<1%
24°C
$458 KL.
<1%
25°C
$223 KL.
<1%
26°C
$120 KL.
1%
27°C
$121 KL.
2%
28°C
$81 KL.
6%
29°C
$268 KL.
24%
30°C
$303 KL.
42%
31°C
$210 KL.
24%
32°C
$111 KL.
7%
33°C or higher
$311 KL.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble models position August 18 highs in the Seoul-Incheon area near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with limited precipitation, following the early-month heatwave peak near 39°C. Trader consensus favoring 30°C (42%) over higher outcomes reflects model spread from variable cloud cover, potential steering flow shifts, and urban heat island moderation, while the tight clustering around 29–31°C captures typical forecast uncertainty ranges two days out. Historical August baselines near 30°C and ongoing humidity support this distribution, with upcoming KMA updates and observational data likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,708Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble models position August 18 highs in the Seoul-Incheon area near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with limited precipitation, following the early-month heatwave peak near 39°C. Trader consensus favoring 30°C (42%) over higher outcomes reflects model spread from variable cloud cover, potential steering flow shifts, and urban heat island moderation, while the tight clustering around 29–31°C captures typical forecast uncertainty ranges two days out. Historical August baselines near 30°C and ongoing humidity support this distribution, with upcoming KMA updates and observational data likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,708Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble models position August 18 highs in the Seoul-Incheon area near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with limited precipitation, following the early-month heatwave peak near 39°C. Trader consensus favoring 30°C (42%) over higher outcomes reflects model spread from variable cloud cover, potential steering flow shifts, and urban heat island moderation, while the tight clustering around 29–31°C captures typical forecast uncertainty ranges two days out. Historical August baselines near 30°C and ongoing humidity support this distribution, with upcoming KMA updates and observational data likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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