Current Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble guidance for Seoul-Incheon on August 17 point to a daytime maximum near 30–32°C under mostly cloudy skies with afternoon showers and 60% precipitation probability. Persistent cloud cover and rainfall suppress peak solar heating relative to clear-sky baselines, while high humidity and light easterly flow limit overnight recovery and daytime warming. Historical mid-August climatology averages 29–31°C, but the current pattern of scattered convection aligns with trader consensus favoring 29–30°C outcomes (combined 67% implied probability). Model spread centers on exact shower timing and intensity, which can shift realized highs by 1–2°C and explain the tight contest between the two leading contracts ahead of final observational data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 17?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 17?
29°C 34%
30°C 33%
28°C 16%
31°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 17, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
16%
29°C
34%
30°C
33%
31°C
10%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 34%
30°C 33%
28°C 16%
31°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 17, 2026
23°C or below
$371 KL.
1%
24°C
$376 KL.
<1%
25°C
$95 KL.
1%
26°C
$102 KL.
3%
27°C
$213 KL.
5%
28°C
$203 KL.
16%
29°C
$192 KL.
34%
30°C
$440 KL.
33%
31°C
$621 KL.
10%
32°C
$399 KL.
4%
33°C or higher
$487 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble guidance for Seoul-Incheon on August 17 point to a daytime maximum near 30–32°C under mostly cloudy skies with afternoon showers and 60% precipitation probability. Persistent cloud cover and rainfall suppress peak solar heating relative to clear-sky baselines, while high humidity and light easterly flow limit overnight recovery and daytime warming. Historical mid-August climatology averages 29–31°C, but the current pattern of scattered convection aligns with trader consensus favoring 29–30°C outcomes (combined 67% implied probability). Model spread centers on exact shower timing and intensity, which can shift realized highs by 1–2°C and explain the tight contest between the two leading contracts ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$3,487Ngày kết thúc
Aug 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble guidance for Seoul-Incheon on August 17 point to a daytime maximum near 30–32°C under mostly cloudy skies with afternoon showers and 60% precipitation probability. Persistent cloud cover and rainfall suppress peak solar heating relative to clear-sky baselines, while high humidity and light easterly flow limit overnight recovery and daytime warming. Historical mid-August climatology averages 29–31°C, but the current pattern of scattered convection aligns with trader consensus favoring 29–30°C outcomes (combined 67% implied probability). Model spread centers on exact shower timing and intensity, which can shift realized highs by 1–2°C and explain the tight contest between the two leading contracts ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,487Ngày kết thúc
Aug 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble guidance for Seoul-Incheon on August 17 point to a daytime maximum near 30–32°C under mostly cloudy skies with afternoon showers and 60% precipitation probability. Persistent cloud cover and rainfall suppress peak solar heating relative to clear-sky baselines, while high humidity and light easterly flow limit overnight recovery and daytime warming. Historical mid-August climatology averages 29–31°C, but the current pattern of scattered convection aligns with trader consensus favoring 29–30°C outcomes (combined 67% implied probability). Model spread centers on exact shower timing and intensity, which can shift realized highs by 1–2°C and explain the tight contest between the two leading contracts ahead of final observational data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp