Current forecast models from the Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show London daytime maxima likely reaching 26–27°C on August 15 under high pressure, light westerly winds, and mostly clear skies that limit cloud cover and enhance solar heating. These conditions favor the market's leading outcomes, with minor spread reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of any Atlantic frontal approaches or urban heat island effects. Historical August averages near 22–23°C provide context, but recent model runs indicate slightly above-normal temperatures without strong jet stream influence. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official observed highs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in London on August 15?
Highest temperature in London on August 15?
26°C 35%
27°C 27%
25°C 19%
28°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
8%
25°C
19%
26°C
35%
27°C
27%
28°C
10%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 35%
27°C 27%
25°C 19%
28°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
$710 KL.
<1%
21°C
$489 KL.
<1%
22°C
$258 KL.
<1%
23°C
$90 KL.
1%
24°C
$256 KL.
8%
25°C
$140 KL.
19%
26°C
$353 KL.
35%
27°C
$317 KL.
27%
28°C
$263 KL.
10%
29°C
$241 KL.
2%
30°C or higher
$353 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show London daytime maxima likely reaching 26–27°C on August 15 under high pressure, light westerly winds, and mostly clear skies that limit cloud cover and enhance solar heating. These conditions favor the market's leading outcomes, with minor spread reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of any Atlantic frontal approaches or urban heat island effects. Historical August averages near 22–23°C provide context, but recent model runs indicate slightly above-normal temperatures without strong jet stream influence. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official observed highs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,469Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show London daytime maxima likely reaching 26–27°C on August 15 under high pressure, light westerly winds, and mostly clear skies that limit cloud cover and enhance solar heating. These conditions favor the market's leading outcomes, with minor spread reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of any Atlantic frontal approaches or urban heat island effects. Historical August averages near 22–23°C provide context, but recent model runs indicate slightly above-normal temperatures without strong jet stream influence. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official observed highs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,469Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show London daytime maxima likely reaching 26–27°C on August 15 under high pressure, light westerly winds, and mostly clear skies that limit cloud cover and enhance solar heating. These conditions favor the market's leading outcomes, with minor spread reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of any Atlantic frontal approaches or urban heat island effects. Historical August averages near 22–23°C provide context, but recent model runs indicate slightly above-normal temperatures without strong jet stream influence. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official observed highs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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