**Recent atmospheric patterns, including lingering high pressure and reduced cloud cover following a heatwave that saw provisional records near 38°C at Kew Gardens, have positioned overnight lows in London around 15–17°C according to Met Office and BBC forecasts for August 15.** These conditions limit radiative cooling, while the urban heat island effect—driven by concrete, buildings, and reduced vegetation—typically elevates minimum temperatures by 1–3°C above rural baselines. Ensemble models show consensus on a daily minimum near 16°C, yet trader positioning at 19–21°C reflects expectations that official station readings (potentially influenced by site-specific factors or slight forecast revisions) will land higher than climatological August averages of 13–15°C. Upcoming hourly observations and any late model runs could refine resolution thresholds before settlement.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on August 15?
Lowest temperature in London on August 15?
20°C 55%
21°C 33%
19°C 14%
22°C 2%
MỚI
$11,528 KL.
MỚI
$11,528 KL.
Aug 15, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
14%
20°C
55%
21°C
33%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 55%
21°C 33%
19°C 14%
22°C 2%
MỚI
$11,528 KL.
MỚI
$11,528 KL.
Aug 15, 2026
14°C or below
$1,022 KL.
<1%
15°C
$567 KL.
<1%
16°C
$464 KL.
<1%
17°C
$747 KL.
<1%
18°C
$765 KL.
<1%
19°C
$1,772 KL.
14%
20°C
$2,946 KL.
55%
21°C
$1,886 KL.
33%
22°C
$760 KL.
2%
23°C
$335 KL.
<1%
24°C or higher
$265 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent atmospheric patterns, including lingering high pressure and reduced cloud cover following a heatwave that saw provisional records near 38°C at Kew Gardens, have positioned overnight lows in London around 15–17°C according to Met Office and BBC forecasts for August 15.** These conditions limit radiative cooling, while the urban heat island effect—driven by concrete, buildings, and reduced vegetation—typically elevates minimum temperatures by 1–3°C above rural baselines. Ensemble models show consensus on a daily minimum near 16°C, yet trader positioning at 19–21°C reflects expectations that official station readings (potentially influenced by site-specific factors or slight forecast revisions) will land higher than climatological August averages of 13–15°C. Upcoming hourly observations and any late model runs could refine resolution thresholds before settlement.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$11,528Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent atmospheric patterns, including lingering high pressure and reduced cloud cover following a heatwave that saw provisional records near 38°C at Kew Gardens, have positioned overnight lows in London around 15–17°C according to Met Office and BBC forecasts for August 15.** These conditions limit radiative cooling, while the urban heat island effect—driven by concrete, buildings, and reduced vegetation—typically elevates minimum temperatures by 1–3°C above rural baselines. Ensemble models show consensus on a daily minimum near 16°C, yet trader positioning at 19–21°C reflects expectations that official station readings (potentially influenced by site-specific factors or slight forecast revisions) will land higher than climatological August averages of 13–15°C. Upcoming hourly observations and any late model runs could refine resolution thresholds before settlement.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$11,528Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent atmospheric patterns, including lingering high pressure and reduced cloud cover following a heatwave that saw provisional records near 38°C at Kew Gardens, have positioned overnight lows in London around 15–17°C according to Met Office and BBC forecasts for August 15.** These conditions limit radiative cooling, while the urban heat island effect—driven by concrete, buildings, and reduced vegetation—typically elevates minimum temperatures by 1–3°C above rural baselines. Ensemble models show consensus on a daily minimum near 16°C, yet trader positioning at 19–21°C reflects expectations that official station readings (potentially influenced by site-specific factors or slight forecast revisions) will land higher than climatological August averages of 13–15°C. Upcoming hourly observations and any late model runs could refine resolution thresholds before settlement.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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