Current forecast models from sources like the Met Office and ECMWF point to a transition toward more unsettled Atlantic airflow and increased cloud cover over southern England by August 16, moderating overnight radiative cooling after an extended period of high pressure. This setup supports minimum temperatures clustering around 16–18°C, above the long-term August average of roughly 13–14°C, consistent with elevated sea-surface temperatures around the UK that limit nocturnal drops. Trader consensus reflected in the 17°C (40%) and 18°C (29.5%) leads aligns with ensemble guidance showing limited downside risk from clearer skies or stronger winds, while lower probabilities on 15°C or below capture residual model spread around any late timing shifts in frontal passages. Updated runs through the weekend will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on August 16?
Lowest temperature in London on August 16?
17°C 40%
18°C 30%
16°C 16%
19°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 16, 2026
14°C or below
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
16%
17°C
40%
18°C
30%
19°C
14%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
17°C 40%
18°C 30%
16°C 16%
19°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 16, 2026
14°C or below
$52 KL.
2%
15°C
$288 KL.
5%
16°C
$329 KL.
16%
17°C
$1,486 KL.
40%
18°C
$826 KL.
30%
19°C
$550 KL.
14%
20°C
$25 KL.
<1%
21°C
$89 KL.
1%
22°C
$89 KL.
<1%
23°C
$99 KL.
<1%
24°C or higher
$109 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the Met Office and ECMWF point to a transition toward more unsettled Atlantic airflow and increased cloud cover over southern England by August 16, moderating overnight radiative cooling after an extended period of high pressure. This setup supports minimum temperatures clustering around 16–18°C, above the long-term August average of roughly 13–14°C, consistent with elevated sea-surface temperatures around the UK that limit nocturnal drops. Trader consensus reflected in the 17°C (40%) and 18°C (29.5%) leads aligns with ensemble guidance showing limited downside risk from clearer skies or stronger winds, while lower probabilities on 15°C or below capture residual model spread around any late timing shifts in frontal passages. Updated runs through the weekend will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,941Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the Met Office and ECMWF point to a transition toward more unsettled Atlantic airflow and increased cloud cover over southern England by August 16, moderating overnight radiative cooling after an extended period of high pressure. This setup supports minimum temperatures clustering around 16–18°C, above the long-term August average of roughly 13–14°C, consistent with elevated sea-surface temperatures around the UK that limit nocturnal drops. Trader consensus reflected in the 17°C (40%) and 18°C (29.5%) leads aligns with ensemble guidance showing limited downside risk from clearer skies or stronger winds, while lower probabilities on 15°C or below capture residual model spread around any late timing shifts in frontal passages. Updated runs through the weekend will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,941Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like the Met Office and ECMWF point to a transition toward more unsettled Atlantic airflow and increased cloud cover over southern England by August 16, moderating overnight radiative cooling after an extended period of high pressure. This setup supports minimum temperatures clustering around 16–18°C, above the long-term August average of roughly 13–14°C, consistent with elevated sea-surface temperatures around the UK that limit nocturnal drops. Trader consensus reflected in the 17°C (40%) and 18°C (29.5%) leads aligns with ensemble guidance showing limited downside risk from clearer skies or stronger winds, while lower probabilities on 15°C or below capture residual model spread around any late timing shifts in frontal passages. Updated runs through the weekend will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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