Recent meteorological forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and extended outlooks project a daily maximum near 26–28°C for Istanbul on August 14, consistent with the observed late-summer cooling trend in the region’s Mediterranean climate. Highs typically peak near 29–30°C early in August before declining 3–4°C by mid-month due to reduced solar insolation and more frequent northerly flow. Current early-August observations around 29°C, combined with model consensus showing no heatwave or anomalous southerly advection, position 26°C as the modal outcome while allowing modest probability for 25°C or 27°C depending on final cloud cover and wind patterns. These conditions match historical normals and explain the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the 25–27°C range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 14?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 14?
26°C 53%
25°C 31%
27°C 29%
24°C 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 14, 2026
23°C or below
2%
24°C
15%
25°C
31%
26°C
53%
27°C
29%
28°C
6%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 53%
25°C 31%
27°C 29%
24°C 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 14, 2026
23°C or below
$12 KL.
2%
24°C
$22 KL.
15%
25°C
$0 KL.
31%
26°C
$14 KL.
53%
27°C
$0 KL.
29%
28°C
$0 KL.
6%
29°C
$5 KL.
3%
30°C
$26 KL.
1%
31°C
$12 KL.
5%
32°C
$12 KL.
2%
33°C or higher
$12 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and extended outlooks project a daily maximum near 26–28°C for Istanbul on August 14, consistent with the observed late-summer cooling trend in the region’s Mediterranean climate. Highs typically peak near 29–30°C early in August before declining 3–4°C by mid-month due to reduced solar insolation and more frequent northerly flow. Current early-August observations around 29°C, combined with model consensus showing no heatwave or anomalous southerly advection, position 26°C as the modal outcome while allowing modest probability for 25°C or 27°C depending on final cloud cover and wind patterns. These conditions match historical normals and explain the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the 25–27°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$115Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and extended outlooks project a daily maximum near 26–28°C for Istanbul on August 14, consistent with the observed late-summer cooling trend in the region’s Mediterranean climate. Highs typically peak near 29–30°C early in August before declining 3–4°C by mid-month due to reduced solar insolation and more frequent northerly flow. Current early-August observations around 29°C, combined with model consensus showing no heatwave or anomalous southerly advection, position 26°C as the modal outcome while allowing modest probability for 25°C or 27°C depending on final cloud cover and wind patterns. These conditions match historical normals and explain the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the 25–27°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$115Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and extended outlooks project a daily maximum near 26–28°C for Istanbul on August 14, consistent with the observed late-summer cooling trend in the region’s Mediterranean climate. Highs typically peak near 29–30°C early in August before declining 3–4°C by mid-month due to reduced solar insolation and more frequent northerly flow. Current early-August observations around 29°C, combined with model consensus showing no heatwave or anomalous southerly advection, position 26°C as the modal outcome while allowing modest probability for 25°C or 27°C depending on final cloud cover and wind patterns. These conditions match historical normals and explain the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the 25–27°C range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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