**Trader consensus centers on a mild mid-winter high near 14°C for Wellington on August 12, reflecting MetService and model guidance showing daytime maxima of 13–15°C amid near-average seasonal conditions.** Persistent El Niño influences are supporting near-normal temperatures across central New Zealand, with typical August climatology placing Wellington’s mean daily high around 12–13°C. Recent short-range forecasts highlight stable high-pressure patterns and light winds that limit daytime warming while preventing sharp cold outbreaks, keeping the probability mass tightly clustered between 14°C and 15°C. Updated model runs and official briefings expected over the next 48 hours will refine wind direction and cloud cover, the key variables that could shift the peak by 1°C in either direction before market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on August 12?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 12?
14°C 52%
15°C 34%
13°C 8%
12°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
8%
14°C
52%
15°C
34%
16°C
4%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 52%
15°C 34%
13°C 8%
12°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
9°C or below
$253 KL.
<1%
10°C
$199 KL.
<1%
11°C
$145 KL.
1%
12°C
$12 KL.
4%
13°C
$262 KL.
8%
14°C
$625 KL.
52%
15°C
$618 KL.
34%
16°C
$192 KL.
4%
17°C
$23 KL.
2%
18°C
$153 KL.
<1%
19°C or higher
$207 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a mild mid-winter high near 14°C for Wellington on August 12, reflecting MetService and model guidance showing daytime maxima of 13–15°C amid near-average seasonal conditions.**
Persistent El Niño influences are supporting near-normal temperatures across central New Zealand, with typical August climatology placing Wellington’s mean daily high around 12–13°C. Recent short-range forecasts highlight stable high-pressure patterns and light winds that limit daytime warming while preventing sharp cold outbreaks, keeping the probability mass tightly clustered between 14°C and 15°C. Updated model runs and official briefings expected over the next 48 hours will refine wind direction and cloud cover, the key variables that could shift the peak by 1°C in either direction before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,630Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a mild mid-winter high near 14°C for Wellington on August 12, reflecting MetService and model guidance showing daytime maxima of 13–15°C amid near-average seasonal conditions.**
Persistent El Niño influences are supporting near-normal temperatures across central New Zealand, with typical August climatology placing Wellington’s mean daily high around 12–13°C. Recent short-range forecasts highlight stable high-pressure patterns and light winds that limit daytime warming while preventing sharp cold outbreaks, keeping the probability mass tightly clustered between 14°C and 15°C. Updated model runs and official briefings expected over the next 48 hours will refine wind direction and cloud cover, the key variables that could shift the peak by 1°C in either direction before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,630Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a mild mid-winter high near 14°C for Wellington on August 12, reflecting MetService and model guidance showing daytime maxima of 13–15°C amid near-average seasonal conditions.** Persistent El Niño influences are supporting near-normal temperatures across central New Zealand, with typical August climatology placing Wellington’s mean daily high around 12–13°C. Recent short-range forecasts highlight stable high-pressure patterns and light winds that limit daytime warming while preventing sharp cold outbreaks, keeping the probability mass tightly clustered between 14°C and 15°C. Updated model runs and official briefings expected over the next 48 hours will refine wind direction and cloud cover, the key variables that could shift the peak by 1°C in either direction before market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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