Current forecasts from models and monitoring sources indicate Shanghai overnight lows near 26–27°C for August 12, consistent with mid-August climatology where average minima hover around 25–26°C amid high humidity and frequent cloud cover. Recent days have shown stable overnight readings of 25–28°C under overcast, rainy conditions that limit radiative cooling, supporting trader emphasis on the 27°C and 26°C outcomes. No significant cold fronts or atypical steering patterns appear in short-range guidance, keeping probabilities for sub-25°C levels low while allowing modest upside for 28°C if daytime heating lingers. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 12?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 12?
27°C 51%
26°C 37%
25°C 19%
28°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
5%
24°C
7%
25°C
19%
26°C
37%
27°C
51%
28°C
12%
29°C
8%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 51%
26°C 37%
25°C 19%
28°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
21°C or below
$32 KL.
<1%
22°C
$34 KL.
3%
23°C
$6 KL.
5%
24°C
$10 KL.
7%
25°C
$0 KL.
19%
26°C
$0 KL.
37%
27°C
$20 KL.
51%
28°C
$0 KL.
12%
29°C
$0 KL.
8%
30°C
$18 KL.
1%
31°C or higher
$22 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models and monitoring sources indicate Shanghai overnight lows near 26–27°C for August 12, consistent with mid-August climatology where average minima hover around 25–26°C amid high humidity and frequent cloud cover. Recent days have shown stable overnight readings of 25–28°C under overcast, rainy conditions that limit radiative cooling, supporting trader emphasis on the 27°C and 26°C outcomes. No significant cold fronts or atypical steering patterns appear in short-range guidance, keeping probabilities for sub-25°C levels low while allowing modest upside for 28°C if daytime heating lingers. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$141Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models and monitoring sources indicate Shanghai overnight lows near 26–27°C for August 12, consistent with mid-August climatology where average minima hover around 25–26°C amid high humidity and frequent cloud cover. Recent days have shown stable overnight readings of 25–28°C under overcast, rainy conditions that limit radiative cooling, supporting trader emphasis on the 27°C and 26°C outcomes. No significant cold fronts or atypical steering patterns appear in short-range guidance, keeping probabilities for sub-25°C levels low while allowing modest upside for 28°C if daytime heating lingers. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$141Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models and monitoring sources indicate Shanghai overnight lows near 26–27°C for August 12, consistent with mid-August climatology where average minima hover around 25–26°C amid high humidity and frequent cloud cover. Recent days have shown stable overnight readings of 25–28°C under overcast, rainy conditions that limit radiative cooling, supporting trader emphasis on the 27°C and 26°C outcomes. No significant cold fronts or atypical steering patterns appear in short-range guidance, keeping probabilities for sub-25°C levels low while allowing modest upside for 28°C if daytime heating lingers. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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