Recent forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and European models indicate Munich will see peak temperatures near 32–34°C on August 10 under warm southwesterly flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with limited thunderstorm risk. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in boundary-layer heating and moisture, keeping the daily maximum tightly clustered around these values rather than extremes. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 33°C (35.5%) and 34°C (34.5%), as sustained high pressure and downslope warming from the Alps support values several degrees above the August climatological average of ~23–25°C while daytime mixing and any scattered cloud cover cap further rises. Updated model runs and official guidance ahead of the weekend will refine the exact peak.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Munich on August 10?
34°C 37%
33°C 33%
35°C 17%
32°C 12%
30°C or below
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
12%
33°C
33%
34°C
37%
35°C
17%
36°C
3%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
1%
34°C 37%
33°C 33%
35°C 17%
32°C 12%
30°C or below
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
12%
33°C
33%
34°C
37%
35°C
17%
36°C
3%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and European models indicate Munich will see peak temperatures near 32–34°C on August 10 under warm southwesterly flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with limited thunderstorm risk. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in boundary-layer heating and moisture, keeping the daily maximum tightly clustered around these values rather than extremes. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 33°C (35.5%) and 34°C (34.5%), as sustained high pressure and downslope warming from the Alps support values several degrees above the August climatological average of ~23–25°C while daytime mixing and any scattered cloud cover cap further rises. Updated model runs and official guidance ahead of the weekend will refine the exact peak.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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