Recent regional heat warnings across Shandong, including northern Qingdao zones, have elevated expectations for peak readings near 34–36°C on August 8 amid lingering high-pressure patterns and elevated humidity that reduce nocturnal cooling. Coastal maritime moderation and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty, with ensemble models showing modest divergence on afternoon sea-breeze strength and any late-day convection that could cap or enhance surface heating. Historical August maxima average near 30°C yet exhibit day-to-day spreads of several degrees tied to synoptic steering; traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 35°C (30.5%) and 34–36°C outcomes, reflecting both the warm baseline and the narrow window for model-driven shifts before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 8?
35°C 31%
34°C 24%
36°C 22%
33°C 14%
31°C or below
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
14%
34°C
24%
35°C
31%
36°C
22%
37°C
8%
38°C
4%
39°C
1%
40°C
2%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 31%
34°C 24%
36°C 22%
33°C 14%
31°C or below
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
14%
34°C
24%
35°C
31%
36°C
22%
37°C
8%
38°C
4%
39°C
1%
40°C
2%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent regional heat warnings across Shandong, including northern Qingdao zones, have elevated expectations for peak readings near 34–36°C on August 8 amid lingering high-pressure patterns and elevated humidity that reduce nocturnal cooling. Coastal maritime moderation and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty, with ensemble models showing modest divergence on afternoon sea-breeze strength and any late-day convection that could cap or enhance surface heating. Historical August maxima average near 30°C yet exhibit day-to-day spreads of several degrees tied to synoptic steering; traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 35°C (30.5%) and 34–36°C outcomes, reflecting both the warm baseline and the narrow window for model-driven shifts before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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