**Current short-range forecasts from Environment Canada indicate a high of 28°C for Toronto on August 8 under mostly cloudy skies with a 60% chance of showers, supporting the market's concentration on 29–30°C outcomes.** Model guidance shows temperatures potentially reaching the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius depending on the timing of any clearing or convective activity, consistent with the 47.5% implied probability on 30°C and 27.5% on 29°C. Recent runs reflect modest instability and humidity that could allow brief warming above the base forecast, while persistent cloud cover and precipitation risk cap upside potential near 31°C or higher (combined ~16%). Historical August averages near 26–27°C provide context, but the immediate steering pattern and surface observations favor the narrow band around 28–30°C as the consensus range traders are pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Toronto on August 8?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 8?
30°C 36%
29°C 25%
31°C 15%
28°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 8, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
9%
29°C
25%
30°C
36%
31°C
15%
32°C
5%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 36%
29°C 25%
31°C 15%
28°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 8, 2026
24°C or below
$106 KL.
1%
25°C
$51 KL.
1%
26°C
$24 KL.
1%
27°C
$105 KL.
3%
28°C
$79 KL.
9%
29°C
$174 KL.
25%
30°C
$750 KL.
36%
31°C
$36 KL.
15%
32°C
$85 KL.
5%
33°C
$27 KL.
1%
34°C or higher
$5 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range forecasts from Environment Canada indicate a high of 28°C for Toronto on August 8 under mostly cloudy skies with a 60% chance of showers, supporting the market's concentration on 29–30°C outcomes.**
Model guidance shows temperatures potentially reaching the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius depending on the timing of any clearing or convective activity, consistent with the 47.5% implied probability on 30°C and 27.5% on 29°C. Recent runs reflect modest instability and humidity that could allow brief warming above the base forecast, while persistent cloud cover and precipitation risk cap upside potential near 31°C or higher (combined ~16%). Historical August averages near 26–27°C provide context, but the immediate steering pattern and surface observations favor the narrow band around 28–30°C as the consensus range traders are pricing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,440Ngày kết thúc
Aug 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range forecasts from Environment Canada indicate a high of 28°C for Toronto on August 8 under mostly cloudy skies with a 60% chance of showers, supporting the market's concentration on 29–30°C outcomes.**
Model guidance shows temperatures potentially reaching the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius depending on the timing of any clearing or convective activity, consistent with the 47.5% implied probability on 30°C and 27.5% on 29°C. Recent runs reflect modest instability and humidity that could allow brief warming above the base forecast, while persistent cloud cover and precipitation risk cap upside potential near 31°C or higher (combined ~16%). Historical August averages near 26–27°C provide context, but the immediate steering pattern and surface observations favor the narrow band around 28–30°C as the consensus range traders are pricing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,440Ngày kết thúc
Aug 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current short-range forecasts from Environment Canada indicate a high of 28°C for Toronto on August 8 under mostly cloudy skies with a 60% chance of showers, supporting the market's concentration on 29–30°C outcomes.** Model guidance shows temperatures potentially reaching the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius depending on the timing of any clearing or convective activity, consistent with the 47.5% implied probability on 30°C and 27.5% on 29°C. Recent runs reflect modest instability and humidity that could allow brief warming above the base forecast, while persistent cloud cover and precipitation risk cap upside potential near 31°C or higher (combined ~16%). Historical August averages near 26–27°C provide context, but the immediate steering pattern and surface observations favor the narrow band around 28–30°C as the consensus range traders are pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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