Current numerical weather prediction models and New Zealand's seasonal climate outlook position near-average winter temperatures as the dominant driver, with Wellington's August climatological high around 12°C. NIWA guidance indicates temperatures are most likely near average through the period, supported by typical southerly flow patterns and limited warm advection expected in early August. Recent model consensus points to daytime maxima of 12–13°C on the 7th, aligning with the market's heavy weighting on those outcomes while assigning lower probability to warmer anomalies that would require unusual northerly winds or clearer skies. Short-term forecast updates from agencies like MetService will refine resolution criteria over the next 48 hours as the event window approaches.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on August 7?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 7?
13°C 56%
12°C 25%
14°C 16%
11°C 3%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 7, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
25%
13°C
56%
14°C
16%
15°C
3%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 56%
12°C 25%
14°C 16%
11°C 3%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 7, 2026
7°C or below
$407 KL.
<1%
8°C
$150 KL.
<1%
9°C
$106 KL.
<1%
10°C
$103 KL.
1%
11°C
$178 KL.
3%
12°C
$210 KL.
25%
13°C
$485 KL.
56%
14°C
$240 KL.
16%
15°C
$246 KL.
3%
16°C
$10 KL.
<1%
17°C or higher
$100 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models and New Zealand's seasonal climate outlook position near-average winter temperatures as the dominant driver, with Wellington's August climatological high around 12°C. NIWA guidance indicates temperatures are most likely near average through the period, supported by typical southerly flow patterns and limited warm advection expected in early August. Recent model consensus points to daytime maxima of 12–13°C on the 7th, aligning with the market's heavy weighting on those outcomes while assigning lower probability to warmer anomalies that would require unusual northerly winds or clearer skies. Short-term forecast updates from agencies like MetService will refine resolution criteria over the next 48 hours as the event window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,236Ngày kết thúc
Aug 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models and New Zealand's seasonal climate outlook position near-average winter temperatures as the dominant driver, with Wellington's August climatological high around 12°C. NIWA guidance indicates temperatures are most likely near average through the period, supported by typical southerly flow patterns and limited warm advection expected in early August. Recent model consensus points to daytime maxima of 12–13°C on the 7th, aligning with the market's heavy weighting on those outcomes while assigning lower probability to warmer anomalies that would require unusual northerly winds or clearer skies. Short-term forecast updates from agencies like MetService will refine resolution criteria over the next 48 hours as the event window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,236Ngày kết thúc
Aug 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models and New Zealand's seasonal climate outlook position near-average winter temperatures as the dominant driver, with Wellington's August climatological high around 12°C. NIWA guidance indicates temperatures are most likely near average through the period, supported by typical southerly flow patterns and limited warm advection expected in early August. Recent model consensus points to daytime maxima of 12–13°C on the 7th, aligning with the market's heavy weighting on those outcomes while assigning lower probability to warmer anomalies that would require unusual northerly winds or clearer skies. Short-term forecast updates from agencies like MetService will refine resolution criteria over the next 48 hours as the event window approaches.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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