Recent short-range forecasts from meteorological models indicate Moscow's August 7 maximum temperature will most likely fall in the 29–32°C range, aligning with the tightly clustered market probabilities favoring 29°C through 31°C. Early August observations show daily highs reaching 30.7°C on August 2 amid above-normal warmth driven by persistent high-pressure patterns and reduced cloud cover, which enhance solar heating. Ensemble guidance exhibits modest spread due to variable steering flows and boundary-layer moisture, preventing stronger consensus on any single threshold. Historical climatology for the first week of August centers near 23–24°C, underscoring how current synoptic conditions elevate the distribution, though minor forecast revisions from updated model runs could still shift resolution outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on August 7?
31°C 29%
29°C 24%
30°C 22%
32°C 19%
28°C or below
4%
29°C
24%
30°C
22%
31°C
29%
32°C
19%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 29%
29°C 24%
30°C 22%
32°C 19%
28°C or below
4%
29°C
24%
30°C
22%
31°C
29%
32°C
19%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from meteorological models indicate Moscow's August 7 maximum temperature will most likely fall in the 29–32°C range, aligning with the tightly clustered market probabilities favoring 29°C through 31°C. Early August observations show daily highs reaching 30.7°C on August 2 amid above-normal warmth driven by persistent high-pressure patterns and reduced cloud cover, which enhance solar heating. Ensemble guidance exhibits modest spread due to variable steering flows and boundary-layer moisture, preventing stronger consensus on any single threshold. Historical climatology for the first week of August centers near 23–24°C, underscoring how current synoptic conditions elevate the distribution, though minor forecast revisions from updated model runs could still shift resolution outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp