**Trader consensus on the Hong Kong highest temperature for August 5 centers on 30–32 °C because official short-term guidance and model runs show persistent cloud cover and showers limiting peak insolation.** The Hong Kong Observatory and extended forecasts indicate maxima near 31–32 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with humidity remaining high; any earlier or more widespread rain would cap readings closer to 30 °C, while brief clearing could allow brief spikes to 32 °C. Seasonal outlook from HKO notes normal-to-above-normal August temperatures overall, yet local synoptic conditions—easterly flow and monsoon influences—introduce day-to-day variability in cloud amount that directly determines whether the daily maximum settles at the lower or upper end of the narrow 30–32 °C range. Updated model guidance and HKO briefings in the next 24–48 hours will be the key data points traders monitor.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 5?
31°C 33%
30°C 28%
32°C 24%
33°C 9%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
28%
31°C
33%
32°C
24%
33°C
9%
34°C
4%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 33%
30°C 28%
32°C 24%
33°C 9%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
28%
31°C
33%
32°C
24%
33°C
9%
34°C
4%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the Hong Kong highest temperature for August 5 centers on 30–32 °C because official short-term guidance and model runs show persistent cloud cover and showers limiting peak insolation.** The Hong Kong Observatory and extended forecasts indicate maxima near 31–32 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with humidity remaining high; any earlier or more widespread rain would cap readings closer to 30 °C, while brief clearing could allow brief spikes to 32 °C. Seasonal outlook from HKO notes normal-to-above-normal August temperatures overall, yet local synoptic conditions—easterly flow and monsoon influences—introduce day-to-day variability in cloud amount that directly determines whether the daily maximum settles at the lower or upper end of the narrow 30–32 °C range. Updated model guidance and HKO briefings in the next 24–48 hours will be the key data points traders monitor.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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