Forecast uncertainty across global and regional models drives the tight clustering of Polymarket odds around 26–28°C for Seoul/Incheon’s August 5 minimum, with the 25–29°C band capturing roughly 80% of trader volume. High atmospheric moisture typical of peak East Asian summer monsoon conditions suppresses nocturnal radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and weak steering winds create ensemble spread in nighttime lows. Incheon’s coastal location adds sea-breeze moderation that can shave 1–2°C off urban Seoul readings. Recent KMA guidance shows only modest day-to-day changes, keeping the market balanced until the next high-resolution model cycle tightens the range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 5?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 5?
24°C 23%
27°C 22%
30°C 21%
28°C 21%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 5, 2026
22°C or below
9%
23°C
20%
24°C
23%
25°C
17%
26°C
19%
27°C
22%
28°C
21%
29°C
15%
30°C
21%
31°C
17%
32°C or higher
16%
24°C 23%
27°C 22%
30°C 21%
28°C 21%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 5, 2026
22°C or below
$49 KL.
9%
23°C
$0 KL.
20%
24°C
$0 KL.
23%
25°C
$0 KL.
17%
26°C
$0 KL.
19%
27°C
$0 KL.
22%
28°C
$0 KL.
21%
29°C
$0 KL.
15%
30°C
$0 KL.
21%
31°C
$0 KL.
17%
32°C or higher
$39 KL.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty across global and regional models drives the tight clustering of Polymarket odds around 26–28°C for Seoul/Incheon’s August 5 minimum, with the 25–29°C band capturing roughly 80% of trader volume. High atmospheric moisture typical of peak East Asian summer monsoon conditions suppresses nocturnal radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and weak steering winds create ensemble spread in nighttime lows. Incheon’s coastal location adds sea-breeze moderation that can shave 1–2°C off urban Seoul readings. Recent KMA guidance shows only modest day-to-day changes, keeping the market balanced until the next high-resolution model cycle tightens the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$87Ngày kết thúc
Aug 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty across global and regional models drives the tight clustering of Polymarket odds around 26–28°C for Seoul/Incheon’s August 5 minimum, with the 25–29°C band capturing roughly 80% of trader volume. High atmospheric moisture typical of peak East Asian summer monsoon conditions suppresses nocturnal radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and weak steering winds create ensemble spread in nighttime lows. Incheon’s coastal location adds sea-breeze moderation that can shave 1–2°C off urban Seoul readings. Recent KMA guidance shows only modest day-to-day changes, keeping the market balanced until the next high-resolution model cycle tightens the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$87Ngày kết thúc
Aug 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty across global and regional models drives the tight clustering of Polymarket odds around 26–28°C for Seoul/Incheon’s August 5 minimum, with the 25–29°C band capturing roughly 80% of trader volume. High atmospheric moisture typical of peak East Asian summer monsoon conditions suppresses nocturnal radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and weak steering winds create ensemble spread in nighttime lows. Incheon’s coastal location adds sea-breeze moderation that can shave 1–2°C off urban Seoul readings. Recent KMA guidance shows only modest day-to-day changes, keeping the market balanced until the next high-resolution model cycle tightens the range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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