Recent ensemble forecasts from global models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate Moscow highs near 28–29 °C on August 5 under a building high-pressure ridge with limited cloud cover and light winds, supporting modest warming above seasonal norms of ~23–24 °C. Ensemble spread of several degrees, typical for 48–72-hour temperature predictions, combined with potential for minor frontal influences or urban heat-island variability, keeps the probability mass centered on 27 °C while assigning meaningful odds to 26 °C and 28–29 °C outcomes. Latest runs show stable conditions through the period, with any downward revisions in guidance likely to reinforce the current market-implied distribution ahead of final observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on August 5?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 5?
27°C 38%
28°C 22%
29°C 19%
26°C 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 5, 2026
23°C or below
5%
24°C
4%
25°C
12%
26°C
16%
27°C
38%
28°C
22%
29°C
19%
30°C
4%
31°C
5%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
2%
27°C 38%
28°C 22%
29°C 19%
26°C 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 5, 2026
23°C or below
$0 KL.
5%
24°C
$4 KL.
4%
25°C
$0 KL.
12%
26°C
$0 KL.
16%
27°C
$6 KL.
38%
28°C
$0 KL.
22%
29°C
$0 KL.
19%
30°C
$23 KL.
4%
31°C
$21 KL.
5%
32°C
$5 KL.
7%
33°C or higher
$10 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate Moscow highs near 28–29 °C on August 5 under a building high-pressure ridge with limited cloud cover and light winds, supporting modest warming above seasonal norms of ~23–24 °C. Ensemble spread of several degrees, typical for 48–72-hour temperature predictions, combined with potential for minor frontal influences or urban heat-island variability, keeps the probability mass centered on 27 °C while assigning meaningful odds to 26 °C and 28–29 °C outcomes. Latest runs show stable conditions through the period, with any downward revisions in guidance likely to reinforce the current market-implied distribution ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Khối lượng
$68Ngày kết thúc
Aug 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate Moscow highs near 28–29 °C on August 5 under a building high-pressure ridge with limited cloud cover and light winds, supporting modest warming above seasonal norms of ~23–24 °C. Ensemble spread of several degrees, typical for 48–72-hour temperature predictions, combined with potential for minor frontal influences or urban heat-island variability, keeps the probability mass centered on 27 °C while assigning meaningful odds to 26 °C and 28–29 °C outcomes. Latest runs show stable conditions through the period, with any downward revisions in guidance likely to reinforce the current market-implied distribution ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$68Ngày kết thúc
Aug 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate Moscow highs near 28–29 °C on August 5 under a building high-pressure ridge with limited cloud cover and light winds, supporting modest warming above seasonal norms of ~23–24 °C. Ensemble spread of several degrees, typical for 48–72-hour temperature predictions, combined with potential for minor frontal influences or urban heat-island variability, keeps the probability mass centered on 27 °C while assigning meaningful odds to 26 °C and 28–29 °C outcomes. Latest runs show stable conditions through the period, with any downward revisions in guidance likely to reinforce the current market-implied distribution ahead of final observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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