Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–31°C for London's August 3 maximum because short-range models show a warm southwesterly flow and high pressure ridge delivering near-normal late-summer heat, yet differ on cloud cover and timing of any Atlantic front. Official Met Office guidance and ensemble runs indicate daytime maxima of 26–30°C under variable sunshine, with the upper end favored if clear skies allow stronger insolation and reduced sea-breeze cooling. Recent July heatwave persistence has kept probabilities elevated, but any increase in low cloud or earlier wind shift could cap readings at 29°C or below, explaining the near-even split between the two leading outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in London on August 3?
Highest temperature in London on August 3?
30°C 31%
31°C 31%
29°C 19%
32°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 3, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
19%
30°C
31%
31°C
31%
32°C
16%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
2%
30°C 31%
31°C 31%
29°C 19%
32°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 3, 2026
25°C or below
$60 KL.
<1%
26°C
$256 KL.
1%
27°C
$433 KL.
1%
28°C
$219 KL.
4%
29°C
$150 KL.
19%
30°C
$173 KL.
31%
31°C
$217 KL.
31%
32°C
$10 KL.
16%
33°C
$5 KL.
4%
34°C
$32 KL.
2%
35°C or higher
$10 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–31°C for London's August 3 maximum because short-range models show a warm southwesterly flow and high pressure ridge delivering near-normal late-summer heat, yet differ on cloud cover and timing of any Atlantic front. Official Met Office guidance and ensemble runs indicate daytime maxima of 26–30°C under variable sunshine, with the upper end favored if clear skies allow stronger insolation and reduced sea-breeze cooling. Recent July heatwave persistence has kept probabilities elevated, but any increase in low cloud or earlier wind shift could cap readings at 29°C or below, explaining the near-even split between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,308Ngày kết thúc
Aug 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–31°C for London's August 3 maximum because short-range models show a warm southwesterly flow and high pressure ridge delivering near-normal late-summer heat, yet differ on cloud cover and timing of any Atlantic front. Official Met Office guidance and ensemble runs indicate daytime maxima of 26–30°C under variable sunshine, with the upper end favored if clear skies allow stronger insolation and reduced sea-breeze cooling. Recent July heatwave persistence has kept probabilities elevated, but any increase in low cloud or earlier wind shift could cap readings at 29°C or below, explaining the near-even split between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,308Ngày kết thúc
Aug 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–31°C for London's August 3 maximum because short-range models show a warm southwesterly flow and high pressure ridge delivering near-normal late-summer heat, yet differ on cloud cover and timing of any Atlantic front. Official Met Office guidance and ensemble runs indicate daytime maxima of 26–30°C under variable sunshine, with the upper end favored if clear skies allow stronger insolation and reduced sea-breeze cooling. Recent July heatwave persistence has kept probabilities elevated, but any increase in low cloud or earlier wind shift could cap readings at 29°C or below, explaining the near-even split between the two leading outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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