Persistent cloud cover, showers, and high humidity associated with a broad trough of low pressure over the South China Sea have kept overnight radiative cooling limited, aligning Hong Kong Observatory guidance and numerical model consensus with a minimum near 25 °C for 3 August. August climatology shows typical overnight lows of 26–27 °C under similar disturbed flow; the current setup suppresses the diurnal range, producing the market’s strong 94.5 % consensus on 25 °C. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected surge of drier northerly air could allow temperatures to dip to 24 °C, but both remain low-probability outcomes given the entrenched moist southwesterly regime and absence of any frontal passage in the latest official forecasts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 3?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 3?
25°C 92%
24°C 7%
23°C 2%
22°C <1%
MỚI
$21,245 KL.
MỚI
$21,245 KL.
Aug 3, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
7%
25°C
92%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 92%
24°C 7%
23°C 2%
22°C <1%
MỚI
$21,245 KL.
MỚI
$21,245 KL.
Aug 3, 2026
21°C or below
$2,609 KL.
<1%
22°C
$1,824 KL.
<1%
23°C
$2,363 KL.
2%
24°C
$2,747 KL.
7%
25°C
$4,536 KL.
92%
26°C
$3,480 KL.
<1%
27°C
$822 KL.
<1%
28°C
$1,036 KL.
<1%
29°C
$693 KL.
<1%
30°C
$653 KL.
<1%
31°C or higher
$482 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover, showers, and high humidity associated with a broad trough of low pressure over the South China Sea have kept overnight radiative cooling limited, aligning Hong Kong Observatory guidance and numerical model consensus with a minimum near 25 °C for 3 August. August climatology shows typical overnight lows of 26–27 °C under similar disturbed flow; the current setup suppresses the diurnal range, producing the market’s strong 94.5 % consensus on 25 °C. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected surge of drier northerly air could allow temperatures to dip to 24 °C, but both remain low-probability outcomes given the entrenched moist southwesterly regime and absence of any frontal passage in the latest official forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$21,245Ngày kết thúc
Aug 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover, showers, and high humidity associated with a broad trough of low pressure over the South China Sea have kept overnight radiative cooling limited, aligning Hong Kong Observatory guidance and numerical model consensus with a minimum near 25 °C for 3 August. August climatology shows typical overnight lows of 26–27 °C under similar disturbed flow; the current setup suppresses the diurnal range, producing the market’s strong 94.5 % consensus on 25 °C. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected surge of drier northerly air could allow temperatures to dip to 24 °C, but both remain low-probability outcomes given the entrenched moist southwesterly regime and absence of any frontal passage in the latest official forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$21,245Ngày kết thúc
Aug 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, showers, and high humidity associated with a broad trough of low pressure over the South China Sea have kept overnight radiative cooling limited, aligning Hong Kong Observatory guidance and numerical model consensus with a minimum near 25 °C for 3 August. August climatology shows typical overnight lows of 26–27 °C under similar disturbed flow; the current setup suppresses the diurnal range, producing the market’s strong 94.5 % consensus on 25 °C. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected surge of drier northerly air could allow temperatures to dip to 24 °C, but both remain low-probability outcomes given the entrenched moist southwesterly regime and absence of any frontal passage in the latest official forecasts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp