National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on August 4 point to a high near 89–91°F under partly to mostly sunny skies with scattered afternoon thunderstorms, aligning with August climatology of 87–90°F at Miami International Airport. Recent record-setting heat in late July and early August, driven by elevated sea-surface temperatures and persistent high pressure, has elevated trader focus on the upper end of normal ranges, though increased moisture and storm activity introduce cooling potential that caps upside odds. Model consensus emphasizes modest steering winds and typical diurnal heating cycles, keeping 90–91°F as the plurality outcome while supporting the strong combined probability on 88–93°F bins. Updated NWS briefings and next-day model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Miami on August 4?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 4?
90-91°F 46%
88-89°F 27%
92-93°F 16%
86-87°F 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 4, 2026
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
27%
90-91°F
46%
92-93°F
16%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
2%
98°F or higher
1%
90-91°F 46%
88-89°F 27%
92-93°F 16%
86-87°F 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 4, 2026
79°F or below
$0 KL.
1%
80-81°F
$0 KL.
4%
82-83°F
$24 KL.
4%
84-85°F
$8 KL.
6%
86-87°F
$43 KL.
9%
88-89°F
$0 KL.
27%
90-91°F
$160 KL.
46%
92-93°F
$198 KL.
16%
94-95°F
$100 KL.
4%
96-97°F
$28 KL.
2%
98°F or higher
$0 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on August 4 point to a high near 89–91°F under partly to mostly sunny skies with scattered afternoon thunderstorms, aligning with August climatology of 87–90°F at Miami International Airport. Recent record-setting heat in late July and early August, driven by elevated sea-surface temperatures and persistent high pressure, has elevated trader focus on the upper end of normal ranges, though increased moisture and storm activity introduce cooling potential that caps upside odds. Model consensus emphasizes modest steering winds and typical diurnal heating cycles, keeping 90–91°F as the plurality outcome while supporting the strong combined probability on 88–93°F bins. Updated NWS briefings and next-day model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$561Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on August 4 point to a high near 89–91°F under partly to mostly sunny skies with scattered afternoon thunderstorms, aligning with August climatology of 87–90°F at Miami International Airport. Recent record-setting heat in late July and early August, driven by elevated sea-surface temperatures and persistent high pressure, has elevated trader focus on the upper end of normal ranges, though increased moisture and storm activity introduce cooling potential that caps upside odds. Model consensus emphasizes modest steering winds and typical diurnal heating cycles, keeping 90–91°F as the plurality outcome while supporting the strong combined probability on 88–93°F bins. Updated NWS briefings and next-day model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$561Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on August 4 point to a high near 89–91°F under partly to mostly sunny skies with scattered afternoon thunderstorms, aligning with August climatology of 87–90°F at Miami International Airport. Recent record-setting heat in late July and early August, driven by elevated sea-surface temperatures and persistent high pressure, has elevated trader focus on the upper end of normal ranges, though increased moisture and storm activity introduce cooling potential that caps upside odds. Model consensus emphasizes modest steering winds and typical diurnal heating cycles, keeping 90–91°F as the plurality outcome while supporting the strong combined probability on 88–93°F bins. Updated NWS briefings and next-day model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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