Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate showers and high humidity on August 3, 2026, likely capping maximum temperatures near 28–29°C by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Seasonal outlooks project normal-to-above-normal August temperatures amid the long-term warming trend, yet near-term moisture from the monsoon trough introduces variability that keeps 30°C+ outcomes at low market-implied odds. Resolution hinges on official HKO measurements at the Hong Kong Observatory headquarters, where urban heat effects and precise timing of any convective activity could shift readings by 1°C. Traders are weighting these short-range dynamics heavily given the narrow two-day horizon.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 3?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 3?
29°C 37%
28°C 33%
27°C 17%
30°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 3, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
17%
28°C
33%
29°C
37%
30°C
12%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
2%
29°C 37%
28°C 33%
27°C 17%
30°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 3, 2026
22°C or below
$797 KL.
<1%
23°C
$11 KL.
1%
24°C
$562 KL.
1%
25°C
$86 KL.
1%
26°C
$112 KL.
4%
27°C
$159 KL.
17%
28°C
$84 KL.
33%
29°C
$395 KL.
37%
30°C
$125 KL.
12%
31°C
$267 KL.
5%
32°C or higher
$32 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate showers and high humidity on August 3, 2026, likely capping maximum temperatures near 28–29°C by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Seasonal outlooks project normal-to-above-normal August temperatures amid the long-term warming trend, yet near-term moisture from the monsoon trough introduces variability that keeps 30°C+ outcomes at low market-implied odds. Resolution hinges on official HKO measurements at the Hong Kong Observatory headquarters, where urban heat effects and precise timing of any convective activity could shift readings by 1°C. Traders are weighting these short-range dynamics heavily given the narrow two-day horizon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,629Ngày kết thúc
Aug 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate showers and high humidity on August 3, 2026, likely capping maximum temperatures near 28–29°C by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Seasonal outlooks project normal-to-above-normal August temperatures amid the long-term warming trend, yet near-term moisture from the monsoon trough introduces variability that keeps 30°C+ outcomes at low market-implied odds. Resolution hinges on official HKO measurements at the Hong Kong Observatory headquarters, where urban heat effects and precise timing of any convective activity could shift readings by 1°C. Traders are weighting these short-range dynamics heavily given the narrow two-day horizon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$2,629Ngày kết thúc
Aug 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate showers and high humidity on August 3, 2026, likely capping maximum temperatures near 28–29°C by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Seasonal outlooks project normal-to-above-normal August temperatures amid the long-term warming trend, yet near-term moisture from the monsoon trough introduces variability that keeps 30°C+ outcomes at low market-implied odds. Resolution hinges on official HKO measurements at the Hong Kong Observatory headquarters, where urban heat effects and precise timing of any convective activity could shift readings by 1°C. Traders are weighting these short-range dynamics heavily given the narrow two-day horizon.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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