Current short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office and ensemble models point to an overnight minimum near 18°C in central London on August 3, with limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–19°C, as small variations in cloud cover, humidity, or urban heat-island effects could shift the recorded low by 1°C. Historical August minima average 14–16°C, but recent high-pressure patterns have supported milder nights; traders weigh the latest model runs against potential revisions in the 48-hour window before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on August 3?
Lowest temperature in London on August 3?
18°C 67%
19°C 32%
17°C 27%
20°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 3, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
5%
17°C
27%
18°C
53%
19°C
32%
20°C
7%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 67%
19°C 32%
17°C 27%
20°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 3, 2026
14°C or below
$91 KL.
1%
15°C
$105 KL.
5%
16°C
$42 KL.
5%
17°C
$45 KL.
27%
18°C
$47 KL.
53%
19°C
$42 KL.
32%
20°C
$38 KL.
7%
21°C
$81 KL.
3%
22°C
$76 KL.
1%
23°C
$198 KL.
1%
24°C or higher
$29 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office and ensemble models point to an overnight minimum near 18°C in central London on August 3, with limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–19°C, as small variations in cloud cover, humidity, or urban heat-island effects could shift the recorded low by 1°C. Historical August minima average 14–16°C, but recent high-pressure patterns have supported milder nights; traders weigh the latest model runs against potential revisions in the 48-hour window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$795Ngày kết thúc
Aug 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office and ensemble models point to an overnight minimum near 18°C in central London on August 3, with limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–19°C, as small variations in cloud cover, humidity, or urban heat-island effects could shift the recorded low by 1°C. Historical August minima average 14–16°C, but recent high-pressure patterns have supported milder nights; traders weigh the latest model runs against potential revisions in the 48-hour window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$795Ngày kết thúc
Aug 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office and ensemble models point to an overnight minimum near 18°C in central London on August 3, with limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–19°C, as small variations in cloud cover, humidity, or urban heat-island effects could shift the recorded low by 1°C. Historical August minima average 14–16°C, but recent high-pressure patterns have supported milder nights; traders weigh the latest model runs against potential revisions in the 48-hour window before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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