Recent short-range forecast models for Qingdao indicate a ridge of high pressure favoring above-average maximum temperatures near 34–36 °C on August 1, with limited cloud cover and light southerly flow reducing typical marine cooling. Coastal sea-breeze effects and any late-day convective development introduce the main uncertainty, keeping the distribution of trader-implied odds clustered between 35 °C and 38 °C or higher. Historical August maxima average ~29 °C, so current conditions reflect a modest warm anomaly; resolution hinges on whether observed peak readings cross category thresholds before 24:00 local time.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 1?
35°C 31%
36°C 24%
38°C or higher 24%
34°C 21%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C
11%
34°C
21%
35°C
31%
36°C
24%
37°C
14%
38°C or higher
24%
35°C 31%
36°C 24%
38°C or higher 24%
34°C 21%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C
11%
34°C
21%
35°C
31%
36°C
24%
37°C
14%
38°C or higher
24%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast models for Qingdao indicate a ridge of high pressure favoring above-average maximum temperatures near 34–36 °C on August 1, with limited cloud cover and light southerly flow reducing typical marine cooling. Coastal sea-breeze effects and any late-day convective development introduce the main uncertainty, keeping the distribution of trader-implied odds clustered between 35 °C and 38 °C or higher. Historical August maxima average ~29 °C, so current conditions reflect a modest warm anomaly; resolution hinges on whether observed peak readings cross category thresholds before 24:00 local time.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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