Official minimum temperature records from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a 25°C low on August 1, 2026, establishing the market resolution with full trader consensus. Typical August overnight lows in the region range 25–29°C under prevailing subtropical conditions, with no anomalous cooling from monsoon influences or typhoon activity altering the daily cycle that day. Market-implied odds reflect verified observational data rather than forecasts, as the event window has closed. Only a post-event revision to official station readings—such as from the King's Park or Waglan Island sites—could theoretically shift the outcome, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare and minor for daily extremes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 1?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 1?
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$36,934 KL.
$36,934 KL.
Aug 1, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$36,934 KL.
$36,934 KL.
Aug 1, 2026
21°C or below
$1,775 KL.
No
22°C
$3,677 KL.
No
23°C
$6,803 KL.
No
24°C
$5,245 KL.
No
25°C
$11,525 KL.
Yes
26°C
$5,278 KL.
No
27°C
$1,146 KL.
No
28°C
$553 KL.
No
29°C
$326 KL.
No
30°C
$385 KL.
No
31°C or higher
$221 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official minimum temperature records from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a 25°C low on August 1, 2026, establishing the market resolution with full trader consensus. Typical August overnight lows in the region range 25–29°C under prevailing subtropical conditions, with no anomalous cooling from monsoon influences or typhoon activity altering the daily cycle that day. Market-implied odds reflect verified observational data rather than forecasts, as the event window has closed. Only a post-event revision to official station readings—such as from the King's Park or Waglan Island sites—could theoretically shift the outcome, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare and minor for daily extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$36,934Ngày kết thúc
Aug 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official minimum temperature records from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a 25°C low on August 1, 2026, establishing the market resolution with full trader consensus. Typical August overnight lows in the region range 25–29°C under prevailing subtropical conditions, with no anomalous cooling from monsoon influences or typhoon activity altering the daily cycle that day. Market-implied odds reflect verified observational data rather than forecasts, as the event window has closed. Only a post-event revision to official station readings—such as from the King's Park or Waglan Island sites—could theoretically shift the outcome, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare and minor for daily extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$36,934Ngày kết thúc
Aug 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official minimum temperature records from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a 25°C low on August 1, 2026, establishing the market resolution with full trader consensus. Typical August overnight lows in the region range 25–29°C under prevailing subtropical conditions, with no anomalous cooling from monsoon influences or typhoon activity altering the daily cycle that day. Market-implied odds reflect verified observational data rather than forecasts, as the event window has closed. Only a post-event revision to official station readings—such as from the King's Park or Waglan Island sites—could theoretically shift the outcome, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare and minor for daily extremes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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