Recent Met Office forecasts for London indicate a maximum of 28°C on August 4, reflecting a shift from the prolonged summer heatwaves that produced multiple days above 30°C earlier in 2026. Ensemble models show high-pressure influence moderating Atlantic airflow, limiting peak temperatures while allowing localized warming under clear skies; this positions 28–29°C as the most probable range given current guidance. Recent observations of cooling trends and potential showers align with trader-implied probabilities favoring those outcomes over extremes above 31°C or below 27°C, though forecast uncertainty remains due to model spread in steering patterns and diurnal heating.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in London on August 4?
Highest temperature in London on August 4?
29°C 41%
28°C 30%
27°C 19%
30°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 4, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
19%
28°C
30%
29°C
41%
30°C
10%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 41%
28°C 30%
27°C 19%
30°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 4, 2026
25°C or below
$86 KL.
1%
26°C
$66 KL.
4%
27°C
$110 KL.
19%
28°C
$104 KL.
30%
29°C
$564 KL.
41%
30°C
$25 KL.
10%
31°C
$25 KL.
3%
32°C
$32 KL.
1%
33°C
$45 KL.
<1%
34°C
$30 KL.
<1%
35°C or higher
$56 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts for London indicate a maximum of 28°C on August 4, reflecting a shift from the prolonged summer heatwaves that produced multiple days above 30°C earlier in 2026. Ensemble models show high-pressure influence moderating Atlantic airflow, limiting peak temperatures while allowing localized warming under clear skies; this positions 28–29°C as the most probable range given current guidance. Recent observations of cooling trends and potential showers align with trader-implied probabilities favoring those outcomes over extremes above 31°C or below 27°C, though forecast uncertainty remains due to model spread in steering patterns and diurnal heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,141Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts for London indicate a maximum of 28°C on August 4, reflecting a shift from the prolonged summer heatwaves that produced multiple days above 30°C earlier in 2026. Ensemble models show high-pressure influence moderating Atlantic airflow, limiting peak temperatures while allowing localized warming under clear skies; this positions 28–29°C as the most probable range given current guidance. Recent observations of cooling trends and potential showers align with trader-implied probabilities favoring those outcomes over extremes above 31°C or below 27°C, though forecast uncertainty remains due to model spread in steering patterns and diurnal heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,141Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts for London indicate a maximum of 28°C on August 4, reflecting a shift from the prolonged summer heatwaves that produced multiple days above 30°C earlier in 2026. Ensemble models show high-pressure influence moderating Atlantic airflow, limiting peak temperatures while allowing localized warming under clear skies; this positions 28–29°C as the most probable range given current guidance. Recent observations of cooling trends and potential showers align with trader-implied probabilities favoring those outcomes over extremes above 31°C or below 27°C, though forecast uncertainty remains due to model spread in steering patterns and diurnal heating.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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