Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 4, 2026, project a daily high near 31°C with lows around 25–26°C and a 60–100% chance of rain under southwest monsoon influence. Cloud cover and precipitation are the dominant variables that can suppress peak temperatures below climatological averages of 30–32°C, creating tight clustering in market-implied odds around 27–29°C. Traders weigh model consensus on convective activity and steering patterns that determine how much solar insolation reaches urban surfaces, where the heat-island effect normally elevates readings. Updated PAGASA briefings and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift probabilities among the closely bunched central outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on August 4?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 4?
28°C 28%
29°C 24%
30°C 16%
27°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 4, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
10%
27°C
12%
28°C
28%
29°C
24%
30°C
16%
31°C
11%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
2%
28°C 28%
29°C 24%
30°C 16%
27°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 4, 2026
23°C or below
$0 KL.
1%
24°C
$5 KL.
1%
25°C
$28 KL.
6%
26°C
$0 KL.
10%
27°C
$0 KL.
12%
28°C
$0 KL.
28%
29°C
$0 KL.
24%
30°C
$0 KL.
16%
31°C
$0 KL.
11%
32°C
$13 KL.
5%
33°C or higher
$21 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 4, 2026, project a daily high near 31°C with lows around 25–26°C and a 60–100% chance of rain under southwest monsoon influence. Cloud cover and precipitation are the dominant variables that can suppress peak temperatures below climatological averages of 30–32°C, creating tight clustering in market-implied odds around 27–29°C. Traders weigh model consensus on convective activity and steering patterns that determine how much solar insolation reaches urban surfaces, where the heat-island effect normally elevates readings. Updated PAGASA briefings and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift probabilities among the closely bunched central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 2, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Khối lượng
$67Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 2, 2026, 12:06 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 4, 2026, project a daily high near 31°C with lows around 25–26°C and a 60–100% chance of rain under southwest monsoon influence. Cloud cover and precipitation are the dominant variables that can suppress peak temperatures below climatological averages of 30–32°C, creating tight clustering in market-implied odds around 27–29°C. Traders weigh model consensus on convective activity and steering patterns that determine how much solar insolation reaches urban surfaces, where the heat-island effect normally elevates readings. Updated PAGASA briefings and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift probabilities among the closely bunched central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$67Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 2, 2026, 12:06 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 4, 2026, project a daily high near 31°C with lows around 25–26°C and a 60–100% chance of rain under southwest monsoon influence. Cloud cover and precipitation are the dominant variables that can suppress peak temperatures below climatological averages of 30–32°C, creating tight clustering in market-implied odds around 27–29°C. Traders weigh model consensus on convective activity and steering patterns that determine how much solar insolation reaches urban surfaces, where the heat-island effect normally elevates readings. Updated PAGASA briefings and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift probabilities among the closely bunched central outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp