Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models show mostly cloudy skies over Tokyo on August 4, limiting solar heating and capping the daily maximum near 28–30 °C amid typical August humidity and light winds. This cloud cover and any scattered showers explain why traders favor the 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes over higher thresholds, while the urban heat-island effect and regional sea-breeze patterns keep probabilities for 27 °C or below lower. Minor divergences among model runs on afternoon clearing timing create the close spread between the leading bins, with updates from official monitoring expected to refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 4?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 4?
28°C 30%
29°C 29%
27°C 20%
30°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 4, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
20%
28°C
30%
29°C
29%
30°C
13%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
3%
28°C 30%
29°C 29%
27°C 20%
30°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 4, 2026
22°C or below
$419 KL.
<1%
23°C
$409 KL.
<1%
24°C
$499 KL.
<1%
25°C
$20 KL.
2%
26°C
$36 KL.
6%
27°C
$160 KL.
20%
28°C
$249 KL.
30%
29°C
$24 KL.
29%
30°C
$223 KL.
13%
31°C
$477 KL.
4%
32°C or higher
$10 KL.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models show mostly cloudy skies over Tokyo on August 4, limiting solar heating and capping the daily maximum near 28–30 °C amid typical August humidity and light winds. This cloud cover and any scattered showers explain why traders favor the 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes over higher thresholds, while the urban heat-island effect and regional sea-breeze patterns keep probabilities for 27 °C or below lower. Minor divergences among model runs on afternoon clearing timing create the close spread between the leading bins, with updates from official monitoring expected to refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,525Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models show mostly cloudy skies over Tokyo on August 4, limiting solar heating and capping the daily maximum near 28–30 °C amid typical August humidity and light winds. This cloud cover and any scattered showers explain why traders favor the 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes over higher thresholds, while the urban heat-island effect and regional sea-breeze patterns keep probabilities for 27 °C or below lower. Minor divergences among model runs on afternoon clearing timing create the close spread between the leading bins, with updates from official monitoring expected to refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,525Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models show mostly cloudy skies over Tokyo on August 4, limiting solar heating and capping the daily maximum near 28–30 °C amid typical August humidity and light winds. This cloud cover and any scattered showers explain why traders favor the 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes over higher thresholds, while the urban heat-island effect and regional sea-breeze patterns keep probabilities for 27 °C or below lower. Minor divergences among model runs on afternoon clearing timing create the close spread between the leading bins, with updates from official monitoring expected to refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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