Chongqing's subtropical monsoon climate and basin topography typically trap heat and humidity in early August, producing climatological highs near 34°C amid influence from the western Pacific subtropical high. Current model consensus and observational trends position 33–35°C as the most probable range for the August 6 maximum, with 34°C holding the strongest market-implied probability at 43%. Recent regional heat alerts and above-average temperatures through July have sustained elevated baselines, yet increasing chances of afternoon convection or cloud cover could moderate peaks. Lower probabilities for 36°C or higher reflect limited intensification signals in short-range guidance, while the slim odds below 33°C account for potential cooling from localized rainfall. Updated National Meteorological Center forecasts and real-time station data will provide the next key inputs before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 6?
34°C 43%
33°C 25%
35°C 18%
32°C 8%
$20,061 KL.
$20,061 KL.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
8%
33°C
25%
34°C
43%
35°C
18%
36°C
6%
37°C or higher
3%
34°C 43%
33°C 25%
35°C 18%
32°C 8%
$20,061 KL.
$20,061 KL.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
8%
33°C
25%
34°C
43%
35°C
18%
36°C
6%
37°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chongqing's subtropical monsoon climate and basin topography typically trap heat and humidity in early August, producing climatological highs near 34°C amid influence from the western Pacific subtropical high. Current model consensus and observational trends position 33–35°C as the most probable range for the August 6 maximum, with 34°C holding the strongest market-implied probability at 43%. Recent regional heat alerts and above-average temperatures through July have sustained elevated baselines, yet increasing chances of afternoon convection or cloud cover could moderate peaks. Lower probabilities for 36°C or higher reflect limited intensification signals in short-range guidance, while the slim odds below 33°C account for potential cooling from localized rainfall. Updated National Meteorological Center forecasts and real-time station data will provide the next key inputs before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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