Persistent heat wave conditions across the Seoul-Incheon region, with official KMA heat wave emergency warnings in effect and model guidance showing limited overnight cooling, are driving the tight market clustering around 27–28°C lows for August 7. High daytime temperatures near 35–37°C combined with elevated humidity suppress radiative cooling under weak synoptic flow, while the urban heat island effect in the Seoul metro area further elevates minimum readings consistent with early-August climatology of 24–27°C. Traders appear focused on the absence of incoming fronts or increased cloud cover that could allow greater nocturnal temperature drops, with resolution hinging on the official morning low recorded between 3–9 AM local time. Updated short-range KMA and international model runs over the next 48 hours will refine this narrow range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 7?
28°C 47%
27°C 37%
29°C 11%
26°C 7%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
37%
28°C
47%
29°C
11%
30°C
5%
31°C
5%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 47%
27°C 37%
29°C 11%
26°C 7%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
37%
28°C
47%
29°C
11%
30°C
5%
31°C
5%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heat wave conditions across the Seoul-Incheon region, with official KMA heat wave emergency warnings in effect and model guidance showing limited overnight cooling, are driving the tight market clustering around 27–28°C lows for August 7. High daytime temperatures near 35–37°C combined with elevated humidity suppress radiative cooling under weak synoptic flow, while the urban heat island effect in the Seoul metro area further elevates minimum readings consistent with early-August climatology of 24–27°C. Traders appear focused on the absence of incoming fronts or increased cloud cover that could allow greater nocturnal temperature drops, with resolution hinging on the official morning low recorded between 3–9 AM local time. Updated short-range KMA and international model runs over the next 48 hours will refine this narrow range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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