Recent short-term forecasts from meteorological models indicate daily highs in Istanbul around 30–31°C for August 7, aligning with the market's emphasis on 28–30°C outcomes as the most probable range. Typical August conditions feature stable high-pressure systems and Mediterranean warming, with historical averages near 28°C and rare exceedances of 32°C this early in the month. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability absent major atmospheric shifts, though minor discrepancies in wind or cloud cover could adjust peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated ensemble runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 7?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 7?
28°C 43%
29°C 24%
30°C 21%
27°C 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 7, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
7%
27°C
15%
28°C
43%
29°C
24%
30°C
21%
31°C
3%
32°C
4%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
3%
28°C 43%
29°C 24%
30°C 21%
27°C 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 7, 2026
24°C or below
$27 KL.
1%
25°C
$27 KL.
1%
26°C
$178 KL.
7%
27°C
$30 KL.
15%
28°C
$141 KL.
43%
29°C
$42 KL.
24%
30°C
$46 KL.
21%
31°C
$27 KL.
3%
32°C
$0 KL.
4%
33°C
$0 KL.
6%
34°C or higher
$0 KL.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from meteorological models indicate daily highs in Istanbul around 30–31°C for August 7, aligning with the market's emphasis on 28–30°C outcomes as the most probable range. Typical August conditions feature stable high-pressure systems and Mediterranean warming, with historical averages near 28°C and rare exceedances of 32°C this early in the month. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability absent major atmospheric shifts, though minor discrepancies in wind or cloud cover could adjust peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated ensemble runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$518Ngày kết thúc
Aug 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from meteorological models indicate daily highs in Istanbul around 30–31°C for August 7, aligning with the market's emphasis on 28–30°C outcomes as the most probable range. Typical August conditions feature stable high-pressure systems and Mediterranean warming, with historical averages near 28°C and rare exceedances of 32°C this early in the month. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability absent major atmospheric shifts, though minor discrepancies in wind or cloud cover could adjust peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated ensemble runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$518Ngày kết thúc
Aug 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from meteorological models indicate daily highs in Istanbul around 30–31°C for August 7, aligning with the market's emphasis on 28–30°C outcomes as the most probable range. Typical August conditions feature stable high-pressure systems and Mediterranean warming, with historical averages near 28°C and rare exceedances of 32°C this early in the month. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability absent major atmospheric shifts, though minor discrepancies in wind or cloud cover could adjust peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated ensemble runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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