Current forecast models from sources such as the Israel Meteorological Service and international ensembles project a peak temperature near 32°C in Tel Aviv on August 5 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light northerly flow typical of midsummer Mediterranean patterns. This aligns closely with the August climatological average of 31–32°C and recent observations showing no significant heat advection or Saharan air intrusions. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds for 32°C and 33°C incorporates the narrow uncertainty range of short-range guidance, with limited upside potential absent unexpected warming. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine land-sea breeze effects and any minor moisture adjustments that could shift the daily maximum by 1°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 5?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 5?
32°C 53%
33°C 41%
34°C 8%
31°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 5, 2026
28°C or below
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
53%
33°C
41%
34°C
8%
35°C
2%
36°C
4%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
4%
32°C 53%
33°C 41%
34°C 8%
31°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 5, 2026
28°C or below
$0 KL.
4%
29°C
$271 KL.
2%
30°C
$32 KL.
2%
31°C
$125 KL.
5%
32°C
$91 KL.
53%
33°C
$31 KL.
41%
34°C
$134 KL.
8%
35°C
$26 KL.
2%
36°C
$0 KL.
4%
37°C
$0 KL.
3%
38°C or higher
$0 KL.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources such as the Israel Meteorological Service and international ensembles project a peak temperature near 32°C in Tel Aviv on August 5 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light northerly flow typical of midsummer Mediterranean patterns. This aligns closely with the August climatological average of 31–32°C and recent observations showing no significant heat advection or Saharan air intrusions. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds for 32°C and 33°C incorporates the narrow uncertainty range of short-range guidance, with limited upside potential absent unexpected warming. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine land-sea breeze effects and any minor moisture adjustments that could shift the daily maximum by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$458Ngày kết thúc
Aug 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources such as the Israel Meteorological Service and international ensembles project a peak temperature near 32°C in Tel Aviv on August 5 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light northerly flow typical of midsummer Mediterranean patterns. This aligns closely with the August climatological average of 31–32°C and recent observations showing no significant heat advection or Saharan air intrusions. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds for 32°C and 33°C incorporates the narrow uncertainty range of short-range guidance, with limited upside potential absent unexpected warming. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine land-sea breeze effects and any minor moisture adjustments that could shift the daily maximum by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$458Ngày kết thúc
Aug 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources such as the Israel Meteorological Service and international ensembles project a peak temperature near 32°C in Tel Aviv on August 5 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light northerly flow typical of midsummer Mediterranean patterns. This aligns closely with the August climatological average of 31–32°C and recent observations showing no significant heat advection or Saharan air intrusions. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds for 32°C and 33°C incorporates the narrow uncertainty range of short-range guidance, with limited upside potential absent unexpected warming. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine land-sea breeze effects and any minor moisture adjustments that could shift the daily maximum by 1°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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