Recent forecast guidance from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles indicates fine to partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers for Cape Town on August 7, 2026, limiting daytime heating and aligning trader consensus around 18–19 °C maxima. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, typical August highs average near 17 °C under the influence of the Benguela Current and frequent cold fronts, with model spreads driven by variations in cloud cover, wind speed, and timing of any showers. The narrow distribution across leading outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction, as small shifts in steering patterns or insolation could differentiate 18 °C from 19 °C; updated model runs expected August 6 will likely refine resolution criteria based on official maximum temperature observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 7?
19°C 38%
18°C 31%
20°C 18%
17°C 11%
14°C or below
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
2%
17°C
11%
18°C
31%
19°C
38%
20°C
18%
21°C
7%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 38%
18°C 31%
20°C 18%
17°C 11%
14°C or below
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
2%
17°C
11%
18°C
31%
19°C
38%
20°C
18%
21°C
7%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 5, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles indicates fine to partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers for Cape Town on August 7, 2026, limiting daytime heating and aligning trader consensus around 18–19 °C maxima. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, typical August highs average near 17 °C under the influence of the Benguela Current and frequent cold fronts, with model spreads driven by variations in cloud cover, wind speed, and timing of any showers. The narrow distribution across leading outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction, as small shifts in steering patterns or insolation could differentiate 18 °C from 19 °C; updated model runs expected August 6 will likely refine resolution criteria based on official maximum temperature observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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