Current numerical weather models and forecasts from agencies including the BBC and AccuWeather project a peak temperature of 33–34°C in Shenzhen on August 6 under mostly sunny skies with light northeasterly winds and moderate humidity. This aligns with typical mid-summer conditions in the region, where average August highs reach about 32°C amid seasonal monsoon influences. Recent model consensus shows limited spread, supporting the market's leading implied probabilities for 33°C and 34°C outcomes, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ reflect the absence of strong warming signals or stalled high-pressure systems in the latest runs. Updated guidance through the evening of August 5 will refine the final maximum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 6?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 6?
34°C 38%
33°C 27%
32°C 14%
35°C 9.6%
MỚI
$46,568 KL.
MỚI
$46,568 KL.
Aug 6, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
14%
33°C
27%
34°C
38%
35°C
10%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 38%
33°C 27%
32°C 14%
35°C 9.6%
MỚI
$46,568 KL.
MỚI
$46,568 KL.
Aug 6, 2026
28°C or below
$1,435 KL.
<1%
29°C
$1,668 KL.
<1%
30°C
$2,113 KL.
1%
31°C
$5,534 KL.
5%
32°C
$1,974 KL.
14%
33°C
$9,107 KL.
27%
34°C
$4,383 KL.
38%
35°C
$9,708 KL.
10%
36°C
$5,364 KL.
3%
37°C
$1,867 KL.
1%
38°C or higher
$3,417 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models and forecasts from agencies including the BBC and AccuWeather project a peak temperature of 33–34°C in Shenzhen on August 6 under mostly sunny skies with light northeasterly winds and moderate humidity. This aligns with typical mid-summer conditions in the region, where average August highs reach about 32°C amid seasonal monsoon influences. Recent model consensus shows limited spread, supporting the market's leading implied probabilities for 33°C and 34°C outcomes, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ reflect the absence of strong warming signals or stalled high-pressure systems in the latest runs. Updated guidance through the evening of August 5 will refine the final maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$46,568Ngày kết thúc
Aug 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models and forecasts from agencies including the BBC and AccuWeather project a peak temperature of 33–34°C in Shenzhen on August 6 under mostly sunny skies with light northeasterly winds and moderate humidity. This aligns with typical mid-summer conditions in the region, where average August highs reach about 32°C amid seasonal monsoon influences. Recent model consensus shows limited spread, supporting the market's leading implied probabilities for 33°C and 34°C outcomes, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ reflect the absence of strong warming signals or stalled high-pressure systems in the latest runs. Updated guidance through the evening of August 5 will refine the final maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$46,568Ngày kết thúc
Aug 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models and forecasts from agencies including the BBC and AccuWeather project a peak temperature of 33–34°C in Shenzhen on August 6 under mostly sunny skies with light northeasterly winds and moderate humidity. This aligns with typical mid-summer conditions in the region, where average August highs reach about 32°C amid seasonal monsoon influences. Recent model consensus shows limited spread, supporting the market's leading implied probabilities for 33°C and 34°C outcomes, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ reflect the absence of strong warming signals or stalled high-pressure systems in the latest runs. Updated guidance through the evening of August 5 will refine the final maximum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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